2022 Valero Texas Open Odds: 3 Outright Picks and 1 DFS Value Play

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds: 3 Outright Picks and 1 DFS Value Play article feature image

Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Jhonattan Vegas.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Valero Texas Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds

Rory McIlroy+900
Jordan Spieth+1600
Corey Conners+1800
Hideki Matsuyama+2000
Chris Kirk+2500
Gary Woodland+2500
Bryson DeChambeau+2800
Si Woo Kim+2800
Adam Hadwin+3300
Tony Finau+3300
Maverick McNealy+3500
Keegan Bradley+4000
Davis Riley+4000
Jason Day+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Kevin Streelman+5000
Luke List+5500
Mito Guillermo Pereira+6000
Patton Kizzire+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Russell Knox+6600
Brendan Steele+7000
Charley Hoffman+7000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+7000
Robert MacIntyre+7000
Ryan Palmer+7000
Sahith Theegala+7000
Doug Ghim+7500
Denny McCarthy+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Rasmus Højgaard+8000
Charles Howell III+9000
Ian Poulter+9000
Lanto Griffin+9000
Matthew NeSmith+9000
Alex Smalley+10000
Dylan Frittelli+10000
Martin Laird+10000
Matt Jones+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Pat Perez+10000
Scott Stallings+10000
Takumi Kanaya+10000
Taylor Moore+10000
Troy Merritt+10000
Peter Uihlein+10000
Anirban Lahiri+12500
Beau Hossler+12500
Branden Grace+12500
Brian Stuard+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan+12500
David Lipsky+12500
J. J. Spaun+12500
Kramer Hickok+12500
Lee Westwood+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Matthias Schwab+12500
Richard Bland+12500
Adam Long+15000
Andrew D. Putnam+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Doc Redman+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Min Woo Lee+15000
Nate Lashley+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Cameron Champ+17500
Danny Lee+17500
Harry Higgs+17500
Aaron Rai+20000
Adam Schenk+20000
Adam Svensson+20000
Andrew Novak+20000
Austin Smotherman+20000
Brandon Hagy+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Hank Lebioda+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Hudson Swafford+20000
Jimmy Walker+20000
JT Poston+20000
Kevin Chappell+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Kyle Stanley+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Patrick Rodgers+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Tyler Duncan+20000
Zach Johnson+20000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
Garrick Higgo+25000
Graeme McDowell+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
John Huh+25000
Justin Lower+25000
Luke Donald+25000
Matt Wallace+25000
Max McGreevy+25000
Peter Malnati+25000
Ryan Brehm+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Ben Kohles+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Bill Haas+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Logan McAllister+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Richy Werenski+30000
Roger Sloan+30000
Seung-yul Noh+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Jared Wolfe+30000
Chesson Hadley+35000
Dylan Wu+35000
Guido Migliozzi+35000
James Hahn+35000
Paul Barjon+35000
Aaron Baddeley+35000
Austin Cook+50000
Ben Kern+50000
Bronson Burgoon+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
David Skinns+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
Henrik Norlander+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Ludvig Aberg+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
William McGirt+50000
Shawn Stefani+50000
Jake Kevorkian+50000
Samuel Saunders+50000
Get up to $2,200 FREE to bet the Valero Texas Open.

It's the week before the Masters, which makes it difficult to focus on the task at hand.

I'd be lying if I said I wasn't constantly checking the Tiger Woods tracker accounts to see where his jet is heading each day (toward Augusta National on Tuesday morning for anyone who's wondering). While it's fun to dive into the storylines for next week, we have a more pressing tournament to handicap — the Valero Texas Open.

TPC San Antonio is a course that requires golfers to play well in all aspects of their game. Distance can be an advantage here, but you can't be too errant off the tee. Approach play is critical, as these greens are tiered and generally difficult to hit on average. Scrambling has been a big part of the winning formula, as even the best ball-strikers are going to miss greens at times (especially if the wind picks up — this is Texas after all).

It wouldn't surprise anyone if one of the big names comes out and dominates this week. Rory McIlroy headlines the field and should be well-rested after sitting out the WGC-Dell Match Play. Jordan Spieth is the defending champ and is looking to discover some form before the Masters.

Abraham Ancer is essentially playing a home game. Bryson DeChambeau and Hideki Matsuyama are both looking to tune up their games, having missed time with injuries. And finally, Corey Conners has won this event in the past and made it to the final four of last week's Match Play.

My plan is to fade the top of the board in hopes of cashing in on a longshot.

Bet Patton Kizzire at BetMGM, get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Outright Picks

Patton Kizzire +6600

Kizzire has long been one of the best putters on tour, especially on Bermuda greens. His driver is by far his most inconsistent club, but he doesn't lack length. If he can reel it in off the tee, he could find himself in contention at this event for the second straight year (T9 in 2021).

The most encouraging statistic for me is that Kizzire has gained more than 13 strokes on approach over his last five events.

Jhonattan Vegas +5500

Vegas has always been one of the best total drivers on tour. He's long and straight, which is a rare combination in this day and age.

More importantly, he has turned into one of the better iron players on tour. Since the start of July 2021, he's eighth in this field in strokes gained on approach.

Vegas doesn't have the best track record at this event, but he lives in Houston and is coming off of a fourth-place finish at the Corales Puntacana Championship last week.

Brendan Steele +8000

Steele is the exact opposite of the Kizzire thesis this week — I'm hoping to catch a rare positive putting week from an elite ball striker.

After missing five straight cuts, something has clicked with Steele in his last two starts. He has gained 7.3 and 11.8 strokes ball striking and posted finishes of T26 (Arnold Palmer Invitational) and T13 (THE PLAYERS). If he can keep that going this week, perhaps he can find success on greens at a course he has won at before.

DFS Value

K.H. Lee: $7,600 DraftKings / $9,000 FanDuel

For what it's worth, I am also betting Lee outright this week at +7500. However, he likely provides a safer DFS floor than anything.

Lee has made 11 straight cuts on the PGA TOUR and while many will point to the fact that he's lost strokes on approach in five straight events, I'll point to the fact that the rest of his game has stepped up in the absence of his irons. He's won in Texas and tends to play his best golf on TPC courses. In three starts at TPC San Antonio, his worst finish is T29.

Cheers to hitting a winner this week and padding the bankroll just in time for the Masters.

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