2023 Charles Schwab Challenge Expert Picks & Odds: PGA Tour Bets for Justin Rose, Jordan Spieth & Denny McCarthy

2023 Charles Schwab Challenge Expert Picks & Odds: PGA Tour Bets for Justin Rose, Jordan Spieth & Denny McCarthy article feature image
Credit:

Via Andrew Redington/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Rose of England plays his shot from the sixth tee during the final round of the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links on April 16, 2023 in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina.

Click arrow to expand Charles Schwab Challenge odds via bet365
GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+460
Tony Finau+1500
Jordan Spieth+1500
Viktor Hovland+1500
Collin Morikawa+1700
Sungjae Im+1900

GolferOdds
Max Homa+2400
Justin Rose+2700
Sam Burns+3000
Rickie Fowler+3000
Tommy Fleetwood+3500
Chris Kirk+3800
Cameron Davis+3800
Russell Henley+4500
Si Woo Kim+5000
Brian Harman+6500
Denny McCarthy+6500
Kurt Kitayama+6500
Stephan Jaeger+7500
Min Woo Lee+8000
Taylor Moore+8000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+8000
Harris English+8000
Alex Smalley+8000
Lucas Herbert+8500
Tom Hoge+9000
Brendon Todd+9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+9000
Davis Riley+9000
Ryan Fox+9000
Emiliano Grillo+9000
Beau Hossler+9000
J.T. Poston+9000
Hayden Buckley+9000
Byeong-Hun An+10000
J.J. Spaun+10000
Patrick Rodgers+10000
Eric Cole+10000
Sepp Straka+10000

GolferOdds
Thomas Detry+11000
Nick Taylor+11000
Ryan Palmer+11000
Andrew Putnam+11000
Joseph Bramlett+12000
Sam Stevens+12000
Justin Suh+12000
Maverick McNealy+14000
Billy Horschel+14000
Aaron Rai+14000
Ben Griffin+16500
Will Gordon+16500
Lee Hodges+16500
Matthew Nesmith+16500
Scott Stallings+17500
Joel Dahmen+17500
Vincent Norrman+17500
Nate Lashley+17500
S.H. Kim+18500
Garrick Higgo+18500
Matt Wallace+18500
Michael Kim+18500
Alex Noren+20000
Adam Schenk+20000
Ben Martin+20000
Robby Shelton+20000
Danny Willett+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Akshay Bhatia+20000
Carson Young+20000
Luke List+22500
Cameron Champ+22500
Mark Hubbard+22500
Patton Kizzire+22500
Dylan Wu+22500
Kevin Tway+22500
Sam Ryder+25000
Pierceson Coody+25000
Jimmy Walker+25000

GolferOdds
Harry Hall+30000
Kevin Streelman+30000
MJ Daffue+30000
Tyler Duncan+30000
Aaron Baddeley+30000
Greyson Sigg+30000
Scott Piercy+32500
Callum Tarren+32500
Zecheng Dou+32500
Erik van Rooyen+35000
Austin Smotherman+35000
Andrew Novak+35000
David Lingmerth+35000
Peter Malnati+35000
Chad Ramey+35000
Chez Reavie+35000
David Lipsky+40000
Ben Taylor+40000
Adam Long+40000
Harry Higgs+45000
Zach Johnson+45000
Kramer Hickok+45000
Henrik Norlander+45000
Matthias Schwab+45000
Michael Block+60000
Cole Hammer+60000
Russell Knox+60000
Justin Lower+60000
Dylan Frittelli+60000
Richy Werenski+60000
Kevin Kisner+60000
Cody Gribble+60000
Luke Donald+60000
Troy Merritt+60000
Rory Sabbatini+60000
Harrison Endycott+75000
Zac Blair+75000
Tyson Alexander+125000
Erik Compton+125000
Paul Haley II+125000
Kyle Westmoreland+200000

The second major of the year is officially in the rearview mirror. While it's sad that the Masters and PGA Championship are already behind us, that means that two more are still to come.

A huge congratulations to Brooks Koepka, who won his fifth career major. Unlike anyone we have seen since Tiger Woods, he has a way of showing up and playing his best on the game's biggest stage.

We now turn our attention to the Charles Schwab Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. There's a fairly strong field teeing it up this week at Colonial Country Club.

Historically, this has not been a course that can be overpowered off the tee. The fairways are tree-lined and quite narrow (27-28 yards on average), which places a greater emphasis on accuracy than on distance. While longer hitters like Sam Burns and Jason Kokrak have won here the last two years, this isn't a bomb-and-gouge type of setup like we saw last week at the PGA Championship.

The greens at Colonial feature pure Bentgrass and are small compared to Tour average. They measure around 5,000 square feet on average, which is actually comparable to Oak Hill last week. Even with little wind expected in the forecast, these greens will be fairly tough to hit on average.

Consequently, a strong short game has historically gone a long way in contending at Colonial. It's no surprise that Jordan Spieth, Kevin Kisner and Kevin Na have all thrived here over the years.

Ultimately, this isn't a course that favors one type of golfer over another. Golfers need to keep the ball in play off the tee, dial in their wedges (with a plethora of approach shots from 100-150 yards), and convert on and around the greens.

Let's dive into the picks.

2023 Charles Schwab Challenge Picks

Jordan Spieth +1400 (FanDuel)

We shouldn't be concerned about the wrist injury for Spieth. He wouldn't be playing the week after a major, and the week before a designated event, if his wrist was still bothering him.

His T29 finish at the PGA Championship doesn't jump off the page, but he actually gained 8.4 strokes via ball striking last week. His short game let him down, which is usually the best part of his game.

I expect him to contend this week at a course where he's posted nine straight top 35s with a win and two second-place finishes during that stretch. He loves this place and will have the Texas crowd behind him.

Pick: Jordan Spieth Outright +1400

Justin Rose +2800 (FanDuel)

Rose has played some great golf this season. He picked up a win in February at Pebble Beach and is coming off of a T9 finish at the PGA Championship where he gained 10 combined strokes on the field on approach, around the green and putting.

He's a former winner of this event in 2018 when he shot a tournament-record -20, and his game really sets up well for the course.

Pick: Justin Rose Outright +2800


Denny McCarthy +5500 (FanDuel)

McCarthy is still searching for his first win on the PGA Tour, but he's no stranger to being in contention. In his career, he has 18 top-10 finishes and five top-five finishes.

He has always been known for his putting, but the rest of his game is trending in the right direction. He's 10th in this field in good drive percentage, is very tidy around the greens, and has gained 6.2 strokes on approach in his last four starts.

I always like him on shorter courses, so maybe he can finally break through at Colonial.

Pick: Denny McCarthy Outright +5500


Thanks and good luck this week!

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