2023 Open Championship First Look & Odds: Picks for Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau & Corey Conners

2023 Open Championship First Look & Odds: Picks for Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau & Corey Conners article feature image

Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images. Pictured: Collin Morikawa.

Click arrow to expand 2023 British Open odds via bet365
Rory McIlroy+750
Scottie Scheffler+800
Jon Rahm+1200
Cameron Smith+1500
Brooks Koepka+2200
Tommy Fleetwood+2200
Viktor Hovland+2200
Rickie Fowler+2200
Tyrrell Hatton+2400
Xander Schauffele+2700
Patrick Cantlay+3000
Shane Lowry+3000
Collin Morikawa+3200
Jordan Spieth+3500
Dustin Johnson+3800

Matt Fitzpatrick+4500
Justin Rose+5000
Tom Kim+5000
Wyndham Clark+5500
Max Homa+5500
Cameron Young+6000
Bryson DeChambeau+6000
Tony Finau+6000
Sam Burns+6000
Justin Thomas+6500
Min Woo Lee+6500
Robert MacIntyre+6500
Patrick Reed+8000
Talor Gooch+8000
Adam Scott+8500
Hideki Matsuyama+10000
Ryan Fox+10000
Jason Day+11000
Corey Conners+11000
Sungjae Im+11000
Keegan Bradley+12000
Brian Harman+12000
Louis Oosthuizen+12000
Russell Henley+14000
Padraig Harrington+14000
Denny McCarthy+14000
Si Woo Kim+14000
Nicolai Hojgaard+15500
Joaquin Niemann+16500
Sahith Theegala+17500
Byeong-Hun An+20000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Rasmus Hojgaard+20000
Sepp Straka+22500
Harris English+22500
Matthew Jordan+22500
Kurt Kitayama+22500
Adrian Meronk+22500
Branden Grace+22500

Gary Woodland+25000
Alexander Bjork+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Alex Noren+25000
Phil Mickelson+25000
Jordan Smith+25000
Ewen Ferguson+30000
Thorbjorn Olesen+30000
Thomas Detry+30000
Thomas Pieters+32500
Victor Perez+32500
Daniel Hillier+32500
Chris Kirk+32500
Seamus Power+35000
Taylor Moore+35000
Adam Schenk+35000
Tom Hoge+35000
Davis Riley+40000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+40000
Yannik Paul+40000
Billy Horschel+40000
Nick Taylor+40000
Joost Luiten+40000
David Lingmerth+40000
Emiliano Grillo+40000
Brendon Todd+45000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+45000
Henrik Stenson+45000
Matt Wallace+45000
Francesco Molinari+45000
Abraham Ancer+45000
Richie Ramsay+45000
Andrew Putnam+50000
Pablo Larrazabal+50000
Thriston Lawrence+50000

Guido Migliozzi+60000
Adrian Otaegui+60000
Lee Hodges+60000
Keita Nakajima+60000
Antoine Rozner+60000
Laurie Canter+60000
Takumi Kanaya+60000
Matthew Southgate+60000
Jorge Campillo+60000
Romain Langasque+75000
Richard Bland+75000
Rikuya Hoshino+75000
Connor Syme+75000
Callum Shinkwin+75000
Danny Willett+75000
Charl Schwartzel+75000
Michael Kim+100000
Alex Fitzpatrick+100000
Kalle Samooja+100000
Jazz Janewattananond+100000
Nacho Elvira+100000
Zach Johnson+100000
Dan Bradbury+100000
Stewart Cink+100000
Marcel Siem+100000
Ben Griffin+100000
David Micheluzzi+100000
Sami Valimaki+100000
Scott Stallings+100000

Kyungnam Kang+125000
Hurly Long+125000
Marc Warren+125000
Ernie Els+125000
Taiga Semikawa+125000
Adri Arnaus+125000
Alejandro Canizares+125000
Trey Mullinax+125000
Seungsu Han+125000
Oliver Wilson+125000
Christo Lamprecht+200000
Travis Smyth+200000
Shubhankar Sharma+200000
Kazuki Higa+200000
Brandon Robinson Thompson+200000
Bio Kim+200000
Connor McKinney+200000
Zack Fischer+250000
Darren Clarke+250000
Jose Luis Ballester+250000
Kyle Barker+300000
Gunner Wiebe+300000
Oliver Farr+300000
Harrison Crowe+300000
Hiroshi Iwata+300000
Haydn Barron+300000
Martin Rohwer+300000
Alex Maguire+300000
Mateo Fernandez de Oliveira+300000
Tiger Christensen+300000
Taichi Kho+300000
Kensei Hirata+300000
Ockie Strydom+300000
Marco Penge+300000
Kazuki Yasumori+500000
Graeme Robertson+500000
John Daly+500000
Michael Stewart+500000

The Genesis Scottish Open was everything we could have asked for (outside of some wonky TV coverage) leading into the final major championship of 2023. Tyrrell Hatton had me thinking we were set for another Sunday come-from-behind victory at a big number before he stumbled down the back nine holes and Robert MacIntyre walked through the door to take the lead.

The Scot put his name in the conversation with an eagle on the par-5 10th and made an incredible birdie at the 18th to seemingly seal at least a playoff for him in his home open. Unfortunately for MacIntyre, Rory McIlroy did the improbable as he tied the lead with a birdie on the difficult par-3 17th. He then went to the most difficult hole of the day at 18 and made a birdie of his own to take the win.

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McIlroy finally broke through after two months of elite play and top-10 finishes to capture his first PGA win of the year. The victory vaulted him firmly to the top of the odds board for this week's major at the site of his Open Championship win from 2014 at Royal Liverpool.

His odds are currently as low as +650 on some books with Scottie Scheffler right behind him after another top-three finish of his own. The rest of the field will benefit as even Masters champion Jon Rahm has drifted out to +1200 in many places.

There are certainly a lot of reasons to be interested in the top two players as they are playing some of the best golf in the world, but they are at numbers that won't put them in consideration for me this week.

There are just too many high-quality players in this major championship for me to grab one of them at such low numbers. I'll be looking further down the board and already have some numbers I like as we head into one of my favorite majors of the year.

First Look

Collin Morikawa +3500 (FanDuel)

I keep chasing that next Morikawa win and I will do so again this week at Hoylake. He's been trending in the right direction over the past couple of months, with his peak coming his last time out at the Rocket Mortgage Classic where he lost in a playoff to Rickie Fowler.

The first key for Morikawa is always the ball striking — he has gained three or more shots on approach in seven of his last eight measured events and has matched it with more than two strokes gained off the tee in each of his past three tournament appearances.

The ball striking is at a place where I feel comfortable that he can get back to his form of being in contention any week he brings the putter with that Strokes Gained: Tee to Green game. That was the case in Detroit, as he gained more than three shots on that field putting and it had him right there for a chance to win.

I love that we have that all trending the right way as he heads into the tournament that was his last win, when he captured the Claret Jug two years ago.

Tony Finau +6000 (PointsBet)

We have seen a decline in play from Finau since his win in Mexico earlier in the year. He has simply struggled, failing to secure a top-20 finish in any of his six tournaments since that victory.

I am ignoring all of that and instead taking a great number on a player who is elite when he is on his game. He isn't someone who required top-level form coming into his prior wins.

Finau has also had plenty of success around this major championship with four top 20s, including two inside the top nine. The upside at a number like +6000 is immense on a player of his caliber, and to me it's completely worth the risk of the Finau who missed the cut at the Rocket Mortgage showing up this week at Royal Liverpool.

Corey Conners +10000 (bet365)

There are very few players in the world who are better ball strikers when on top of their game than Corey Conners. The Canadian showed that play can travel even in the links-style winds as he posted the second-best round of the day in the difficult Sunday conditions in Scotland.

His four-under round saw him more than three-and-a-half shots better than the field Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and he also gained more than two shots with his putter. I expect him to be riding high with confidence after that round.

If he can bottle that play into Hoylake, he has shown an ability to contend in even the best fields. I'll happily take the combination of momentum, form and triple-digit odds on a player who has already won on Tour this season.

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