2024 RBC Canadian Open Picks: 4 Outright Bets for Hamilton G&CC

2024 RBC Canadian Open Picks: 4 Outright Bets for Hamilton G&CC article feature image

Via Getty Images/Action Network Design. Pictured: Tom Kim (left) & Cameron Young (right).

The PGA Tour heads to Hamilton, Ontario this week, and our golf analysts have 2024 RBC Canadian Open Picks ready.

Our golf betting experts have already peppered the RBC Canadian Open outright betting board on Monday, and they have outright bets for four different golfers at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, including Tom Kim.

Find our favorite 2024 RBC Canadian Open Picks for this week's PGA Tour event below.

2024 RBC Canadian Open Picks

Spencer Aguiar: Tom Kim +4500 (bet365)

We got a challenging board when diving into the odds at the top for options like Rory McIlroy, Sam Burns, Tommy Fleetwood and Sahith Theegala. Each option landed under the statistical parameters I would want to see to make an outright wager. Unfortunately, they were accompanied by reduced odds that made me look elsewhere.

I often choose to deviate from increasing my exposure with my outright card when faced with similar boards. That is because I don't see the value in chasing additional risk against the top-end talent in my sheet.

There will be a lot of that from me in Canada if we don't get some drift with the names I mentioned before a ball is struck on Thursday. However, there was one golfer who landed in the same talent section but drew a heightened price with Tom Kim at 45-1.

Kim has been trending off the tee after gaining 5.3 strokes to the field in his past two starts, and while his recent iron play does leave something to be desired, my model graded him fifth in this field given the heightened proximity ranges at Hamilton Golf & Country Club.

I had this price proper at 28-1 and will gladly back the fourth-rated golfer in my sheet for Weighted Scoring when faced with my projections for this course.

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Matt Gannon: Cameron Young +2200 (bet365)

Is Cam Young a generational non-winner… yes. Am I also a Cam Young believer… also yes.

He is coming off the worst iron week of his career, which is tough to tout, but the last time he had a poor iron week, he bounced back in a strong way.

Young has the ability to bomb and gouge this course when he has the opportunity or dial it back and find fairways when needed. He has had plenty of success on club-down courses in his career, and this is surely a weaker field he can dominate.

Greg Waddell: Tommy Fleetwood +1900 (bet365)

Who doesn’t love a good redemption arc? Tommy Fleetwood fell short at last year’s Canadian Open when he lost in a playoff because Nick Taylor made a 72-foot eagle putt to win.

Now Fleetwood has a chance to avenge his runner-up finish, and his game suits Hamilton Golf & Country Club extremely well.

Accuracy off the tee is at a premium this week, and Fleetwood ranks third on Tour in Driving Accuracy. With elevation changes galore, golfers can find themselves in some strange spots around the greens, and Fleetwood is a pro in those situations, ranking among the top 10 in both Scrambling and Scrambling from the Rough. He's also 13th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Around the Green this season.

He is the second-most talented golfer in the field this week, and 19-1 is great value.

Tony Sartori: Rory McIlroy +390 (bet365)

I fell short going with the chalk last week with Scottie Scheffler, but I am taking the bait once again this week on Rory McIlroy at +390. McIlroy is a two-time winner of this event, securing victories in 2019 and 2022. He has only made three starts at the Canadian Open and has finished in the top 10 all three times.

Hamilton Golf & Country Club last hosted this tournament in 2019, so McIlroy is going to have a big edge over the rest of this field, many of whom have never even previously played at this venue. It’s also worth noting that Hamilton is a Harry S. Colt design that just underwent a renovation by Martin Ebert and Tom Mackenzie.

If that sounds familiar, it is because the Ebert/Mackenzie tandem also renovated Colt’s Royal Liverpool, which hosted the 2023 Open Championship. McIlroy tied for sixth in that tournament.

Finally, McIlroy is in great form with two wins over his past three tournaments.

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