Why Aaron Wise Has Major Sleeper Potential at Shinnecock

Why Aaron Wise Has Major Sleeper Potential at Shinnecock article feature image

May 17, 2018; Dallas, TX, USA; Aaron Wise acknowledges the gallery after making a birdie on the 18th hole during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament at Trinity Forest Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Aaron Wise

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, MC, N/A

Odds: +10,000 to win, +900 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish, -190 to make cut, +135 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +900 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Aaron Wise (-115) over Tyrrell Hatton

Tee Times: 12:52 p.m. (Thursday); 7:07 a.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

Wise is at his best when he needs to hit the driver. We saw this at two driver-heavy courses when he won the Byron Nelson and tied for second at the Wells Fargo Championship. Experience is a concern for a major; he missed the cut in his only start at the U.S. Open, in 2016. But because he has seen a USGA setup before and has clearly improved since then, he’s a guy I really like as a sleeper. I’ll look at him for a first-round leader play if he gets a good draw with the weather, and I’ll be targeting him for a top-20 if I can find +800 or higher.

The Metrics

Here’s how Wise ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-73rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 29th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 51st
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-17th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 58th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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