Global Golf Betting Predictions: Mexico Open & 6 More Tournaments

Global Golf Betting Predictions: Mexico Open & 6 More Tournaments article feature image

Via Action Network Design/Getty Images. Pictured (left to right): Doug Ghim, Davis Thompson, Yuka Saso & Sebastián Muñoz.

Here's everything you need to know about Global Golf Betting Predictions for this week, including picks for seven different tours worldwide.

We had a chance to get back-to-back outright wins on the PGA Tour with Will Zalatoris, but he ran into the Hideki Matsuyama buzzsaw and finished second at The Genesis Invitational.

It's clear he's healthy again, which is nice to see, and it's not a bad idea to look into his major championship outright odds in case any of the books have been slow to adjust.

This week, I have global golf betting predictions for these seven events on their respective tours:

  • Mexico Open at Vidanta on the PGA Tour
  • Honda LPGA Thailand on the LPGA
  • Magical Kenya Open on the DP World Tour
  • Trophy Hassan II on the Champions Tour
  • International Series Oman on the Asian Tour
  • Lalla Meryem Cup on the Ladies European Tour
  • NMB Championship on the Challenge Tour

Global Golf Betting Predictions

Mexico Open at Vidanta – PGA Tour

Best Bet: Doug Ghim +6000 (FanDuel)

Doug Ghim is my top play of the week in this PGA Tour event lacking star power. This is a good price on someone coming off two top-15 finishes at TPC Scottsdale and Torrey Pines in much stronger fields than this one.

His length is just average on what has been a bomber course so far, but his entire game has been solid for the past two events now. Even though he doesn't have the length or course history of some playing this week, we're getting a good number for someone many expect to win on the PGA Tour at some point.

Other Mexico Open at Vidanta Outright Bets:

  • Davis Thompson +4000
  • Maverick McNealy +6500
  • S.H. Kim +9000
  • Sami Valimaki +12000
  • Chan Kim +14000
  • Trace Crowe +20000

Honda LPGA Thailand

Best Bet: Yuka Saso +3300 (bet365)

The LPGA returns to the scene of the Natthakritta Vongtaveelap heartbreak last year where we saw a 1000-1 longshot let a four-stroke lead slip away down the stretch.

I'm not seeing any clear mispricings like that this time, so we'll go to Yuka Saso here. She opened as high as +5500, but that price didn't last long. It's been a few years since the 22-year old has won, but she does have a major championship win under her belt thanks to her 2021 U.S. Women's Open victory, and she finished in the top three twice in majors last year.

She opened her year finishing seventh in Saudi Arabia last week and has placed in the top 20 in both appearances here. This should be a good fit since she's one of the stronger drivers on the LPGA, and this is a course that has favored length in the past.

Other Honda LPGA Thailand Outright Bets:

  • Georgia Hall +5500
  • Esther Henseleit +8000
  • Chanettee Wannasaen +15000
  • Moriya Jutanugarn +15000

Magical Kenya Open – DP World Tour

Best Bet: Aaron Cockerill +3500 (DraftKings)

Some of the better DP World Tour players still left are getting a rare PGA Tour start in Mexico this week, so we're seeing a trickle-down effect on the field strength here.

Without a lot to choose from, I'll go with Aaron Cockerill. He's a solid and accurate player who has had his short game dialed in this season. This course has rewarded players like that in the past with Jorge Campillo winning last year and Aaron Rai taking down a Challenge Tour event here in 2017.

Cockerill was second here two years ago, so the course is a decent fit. He's also gotten off to a strong start this year with a fourth in Dubai and a sixth in Bahrain.

Other Magical Kenya Open Outright Bets:

  • Sam Bairstow +6500
  • Ryan Van Velzen +7000
  • Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez +9000
  • Joel Girrbach +15000

Trophy Hassan II – Champions Tour

Best Bet: Mark Hensby +3100 (FanDuel)

After a rain-shortened week in Florida, the Champions Tour is off to Morocco for a rare event outside of the U.S.

Most of the top Champions Tour golfers don't make this trip, so defending champ Stephen Ames highlights this field after winning last week.

My play of Mark Hensby at the top of the board is pretty straightforward. He was second here last year and was sitting third last week when the tournament was called. He was also 12th in the season opening tournament. With guys like Steve Stricker and Paddy Harrington absent, I'm not really sure why he's not in the teens here given how he played last year and the early results this year.

Other Trophy Hassan II Outright Bets:

  • Ken Tanigawa +6600
  • Ken Duke +9000
  • Arjun Atwal +11000

International Series Oman – Asian Tour

Best Bet: Sebastián Muñoz +2000 (FanDuel)

We have a LIV-lite event on the Asian Tour this week with around a third of that tour making up the field this week and taking 13 of the top-14 spots on the odds board.

There's a lot of talk about playing less golf and motivation with these guys, but when the LIV middle class shows up elsewhere, they've been winning. I think that trend continues this week, just like in Malaysia last week when David Puig took down that title.

I'll stick with that and go to Sebastián Muñoz, who has a couple of top-15 finishes to start the LIV season.

Lalla Meryem Cup – Ladies European Tour

Best Bet: Manon De Roey +2500 (bet365)

It's back to a regular field on the Ladies Euro Tour this week after stars came over for the Saudi event.

My focus here is on Manon De Roey. She played well here a year ago, finishing seventh, and has also gotten off to a strong start this season, finishing third in the season opener and recording a top 20 in last week's loaded field. She won on this tour two years ago before having a rough season on the LPGA last year. Nonetheless, this tour has been more of a comfort zone for her.

Other Lalla Meryem Cup Outright Bets:

  • Chiara Noja +4000
  • Alessandra Fanali +4000

NMB Championship – Challenge Tour

Best Bet: Dylan Naidoo +4000 (bet365)

I'll wrap up with the Challenge Tour this week as its South African swing continues.

26-year-old South African Dylan Naidoo has had a good run on the Challenge Tour this month with three top 15s in four starts. This is mostly just a form play as the South Africans get one last shot on the tour in their home country this season.

Other NMB Championship Outright Bets:

  • Luca Filippi +4500
  • Euan Walker +6600
  • Curtis Knipes +6600
  • Victor Pastor +11000

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