2018 British Open: Jhonattan Vegas Not a Fit for Links-Style Carnoustie

Jul 12, 2018 12:10 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Jhonattan Vegas’ British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,700 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, MC

Odds: +75,000 to win, +2000 top-10 finish, +600 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +75,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 5:31 a.m. ET (Thursday); 10:32 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Vegas’ main weaknesses are with accuracy: He’s hit just 62.4% of greens and 57% of fairways in the past 75 weeks. In the short term, he’s hit just 57% of greens in regulation. That just won’t fly at a links-style course like Carnoustie, unfortunately. I won’t be looking to invest in him in DFS or the betting market.


The Metrics

Here’s how Vegas ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-72nd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-60th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 66th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 116th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 54th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jhonattan Vegas

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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