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Kiradech Aphibarnrat Is a Risky U.S. Open Bet

Jun 11, 2018 6:26 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Kiradech Aphibarnrat

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,100 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, N/A, N/A, MC, N/A

Odds: +15,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +450 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +160 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +160 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:58 p.m. (Thursday); 8:13 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

I like Aphibarnrat and am ready for his run as a full-time PGA Tour player, but I just don’t see this setup fitting him very well. He can get really errant with the driver, and at a U.S Open, that can lead to big numbers. His approach game is great, but I think he’s just too much of a wild card to play in fantasy or risk a bet.


The Metrics

Here’s how Aphibarnrat ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-69th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 8th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 68th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 86th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 78th

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Jun 1, 2018; Dublin, OH, USA; Kiradech Aphibarnrat putts on the eighteenth green during the second round of The Memorial golf tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

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