2018 British Open: Matthew Fitzpatrick Is a Better Value in the DFS Market

Jul 12, 2018 10:34 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Matthew Fitzpatrick’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,600 DraftKings, $9,100 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-44 (a), N/A, N/A, MC, T-44

Odds: +6000 to win, +500 top-10 finish, +250 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +250 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: Fitzpatrick (-115) over Phil Mickelson (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 7:42 a.m. ET (Thursday); 2:41 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Fitzpatrick doesn’t have much of an Open resume early in his career. As with many of the British golfers, we have to pay a bit of tax for them being close to home for this major. He’s in the same range as Tony Finau and Louis Oosthuizen, but he hasn’t shown that type of ability yet in these big tournaments. As such, he’s probably a better investment in DFS.


The Metrics

Here’s how Fitzpatrick ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-60th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-72nd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-56th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-41st

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Matthew Fitzpatrick

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