Sobel, Sleeze, and Davy: Our Favorite PGA Championship Matchup Props

Aug 08, 2018 4:59 PM EDT

Jan 7, 2018; Maui, HI, USA; PGA golfer Dustin Johnson reacts after winning the Sentry Tournament of Champions golf tournament at Kapalua Resort – The Plantation Course. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

  • Colin Davy builds a model every week to analyze the best matchup props and former pro Drew Stoltz and golf expert Jason Sobel use their knowledge to pick some of their own.
  • Sometimes the men and the machine disagree, but sometimes they are aligned and that points to value.
  • Below are several matchup props that include the likes of Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson and Sergio Garcia that our experts -- and the machine have opinions on.

If you’ve heard the The Action Network Golf Podcast, you know that the man (Sleeze) and the machine (Davy) battle it out with their golf takes. Colin Davy builds a model every week to analyze the best matchup props, whereas Drew Stoltz (aka Sleeze), a former golf pro, relies on his inside-the-ropes knowledge. Often they disagree, but sometimes they don’t. And those times are when you’ll want to pay attention.

This piece will detail Sleeze’s picks and Colin’s data on those. Of course, we had to add our golf expert, Jason Sobel, into the mix as well. For more analysis, check out our breakdowns on the top 80 golfers in the field.

Sleeze’s Picks

Patrick Cantlay (-145) over Alex Noren

Cantlay has had an incredibly solid year and is quickly becoming one of the most consistent players on tour. He has finished outside the top 25 in only two of his past nine starts, and he’s made 16 of 18 cuts this year. Three consecutive top-15 finishes find him in perfect form heading into the year’s final major. Noren has been no slouch himself with 14 of 16 cuts made, but the soft conditions and Cantlay’s advantage in iron play (35th vs. 158th in Greens in Regulation) make me confident that Cantlay is the play here.

Davy’s Model: Cantlay (-216) over Noren

The Verdict: Agree

>> All odds as of 5 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your bets

Ian Poulter (-140) over Sergio Garcia



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