Shriners Children’s Open Picks: Expert Bets for J.T. Poston, Adam Schenk & Eric Cole

Shriners Children’s Open Picks: Expert Bets for J.T. Poston, Adam Schenk & Eric Cole article feature image

Via Getty Images. Pictured (left to right): J.T. Poston, Adam Schenk & Eric Cole.

Click to expand Shriners Children’s Open Odds via bet365
GolferShriners Children's Open Odds
Tom Kim+1250
Ludvig Aberg+1250
Si Woo Kim+2400
Cameron Davis+2400
J.T. Poston+3200
Adam Schenk+3200
J.J. Spaun+3200
Tom Hoge+3500
Eric Cole+3800
Vincent Norrman+3800
Andrew Putnam+3800
Beau Hossler+3800
Adam Hadwin+4500
Nicolai Hojgaard+5000
Emiliano Grillo+5000
Adam Svensson+5000
Davis Thompson+5000
Alex Smalley+5000
Garrick Higgo+5500
Lucas Herbert+5500
Mark Hubbard+5500
Aaron Rai+6000
Ben Griffin+6000
Patrick Rodgers+6000
Luke List+6000
Justin Suh+6500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+6500
Nick Taylor+6500

GolferShriners Children's Open Odds
Sam Ryder+7000
S.H. Kim+7500
Matthew Nesmith+7500
Alex Noren+8000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+8500
Doug Ghim+8500
Matt Wallace+8500
Chad Ramey+8500
Chesson Hadley+8500
Sam Stevens+9000
Akshay Bhatia+9000
Taylor Montgomery+10000
Taylor Pendrith+10000
Erik van Rooyen+10000
Callum Tarren+11000
Peter Kuest+11000
Nick Hardy+11000
Austin Eckroat+11000
Cameron Champ+11000
Davis Riley+11000
Michael Kim+11000
Scott Stallings+11000
Martin Laird+11000
Joseph Bramlett+12000
Kevin Streelman+12000
Nate Lashley+12000
Hayden Buckley+12000
Webb Simpson+12000
Troy Merritt+12000
Joel Dahmen+12000
Harry Hall+14000
MJ Daffue+14000
Greyson Sigg+14000
Kevin Yu+14000
C.T. Pan+14000
Ben Martin+14000
David Lipsky+14000

GolferShriners Children's Open Odds
Robby Shelton+16000
Chez Reavie+16000
Stewart Cink+17500
Vince Whaley+17500
Ryan Palmer+17500
Carson Young+17500
Peter Malnati+17500
Tyler Duncan+18500
Zecheng Dou+18500
Will Gordon+18500
Carl Yuan+20000
Henrik Norlander+20000
Ryan Moore+20000
Lanto Griffin+22500
Justin Lower+22500
Jimmy Walker+22500
Russell Knox+22500
Adam Long+25000
Patton Kizzire+25000
Charley Hoffman+25000
Matti Schmid+30000
Austin Smotherman+30000
Kevin Tway+30000
Kelly Kraft+30000
James Hahn+30000
Zac Blair+30000
Doc Redman+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Kramer Hickok+35000
Harrison Endycott+35000

GolferShriners Children's Open Odds
Tano Goya+40000
Scott Piercy+40000
Scott Harrington+45000
Brandt Snedeker+45000
Jason Dufner+45000
Ben Taylor+45000
Ryan Armour+45000
Austin Cook+45000
Augusto Nunez+60000
Kevin Roy+60000
Trevor Cone+60000
Brent Grant+60000
Richy Werenski+60000
Tyson Alexander+60000
Matthias Schwab+60000
Dylan Frittelli+60000
Nicolas Echavarria+75000
Andrew Landry+75000
Ryan Brehm+100000
Kyle Westmoreland+100000
Michael Gligic+100000
Paul Haley II+100000
Yuxin Lin+125000
Brandon Matthews+125000
Max McGreevy+125000
Trevor Werbylo+125000
Jim Herman+125000
Brian Stuard+125000
Tommy Gainey+125000
Lexi Thompson+250000
Nick Watney+250000
Craig Hocknull+250000

After a week in Mississippi, the PGA Tour heads to Sin City for the Shriners Children's Open. This is one of my favorite events during the fall season, and there are a lot of appealing plays on the betting board this week. Before we get to the picks, let's take a look at the course and what type of golfers might excel in Las Vegas.

TPC Summerlin is a par-71 that measures 7,255 yards, and by PGA Tour standards, this is one of the shorter courses on the schedule. Add in wide fairways, large greens and little wind, and we have ourselves a recipe for a birdie-fest. Each of the last five winners here have been at least 21-under par, and this course has been one of the 10 easiest courses on Tour every year during that stretch.

On paper, you would think a course with three par-5s and wide fairways would set up well for the bombers, but that hasn't been the case here over the years.

There are a few reasons for this. The first is that if golfers miss the fairway by much, they will find themselves in the desert and at the mercy of the golf gods while hoping for a playable lie. The second is that in order to attack these pins, golfers need to play from the short grass. And finally, the holes are so short that the difference between hitting an approach from 120 yards compared to 105 yards isn't that big of a difference for these golfers.

This doesn't mean that the longer hitters can't or won't play well this week, but know that the driver is neutralized a bit at this course as the majority of strokes will be gained on approach and on the greens.

While we've seen some elite scramblers play well here in the past, I'm not focusing my attention on around the green play. For starters, golfers will be behind the eight ball if they are consistently missing greens, and additionally, I expect the Greens in Regulation Rate to be very high given the absence of wind in the forecast.

Essentially, I'm looking for golfers who keep it in play off the tee, can gain strokes on approach, make a lot of birdies and can putt well on Bentgrass greens. A nice track record playing desert golf doesn't hurt as well.

Shriners Children's Open Outright Picks

J.T. Poston +3000 (BetMGM)

J.T. Poston doesn't have the best course history at TPC Summerlin, but he did finish T20 here last year, and I would argue that he's currently playing the best golf of his career.

He's rattled off seven straight made cuts with four top-seven finishes during that stretch. Even more impressive, he has gained over 17 strokes on approach in his last four starts.

In theory, this should be a great fit for Poston because he tends to play his best on courses that don't require distance off the tee and courses that are easy. He rates out as the second-best golfer in my model this week (behind only Tom Kim), and we shouldn't blink at the chance to bet him at +3000.

Pick: J.T. Poston +3000 Outright

Adam Schenk +3000 (FanDuel)

Adam Schenk has yet to pick up a win on the PGA Tour, but he has come awfully close a few times this year. He finished runner-up at the Valspar Championship in the spring and has since posted four other top-10 finishes.

It's a pretty simple recipe for Schenk — he gains a ton of strokes on approach and on the greens– and that's exactly the skillset that we are looking for when it comes to TPC Summerlin.

He's played well here in the past, posting four straight top-30 finishes with a third-place finish in 2021.

Eric Cole +3500 (FanDuel)

Because Eric Cole had a middling finish last week (T35) and missed the cut here last year, he's getting overlooked in the betting market.

However, he's first in the field in Birdie or Better Rate and is one of the best putters on tour. This should-be Rookie of the Year has over 50 mini tour wins, and if you know anything about those events, they are all birdie-fests.

He knows how to keep his foot on the gas and should be more comfortable the next time he finds himself in contention.

Pick: Eric Cole +3500 Outright

Andrew Putnam +160 for Top 20 (BetMGM | Ties Paid in Full)

Whenever I have a placement bet that I like, BetMGM is the first sportsbook that I check for odds because BetMGM is the one book available to me that doesn't have a dead-heat reduction for their golf bets.

If you are unfamiliar, let me walk you through an example. If Andrew Putnam finishes in a four-way tie for 20th this week, you would only get one-fourth of your payout on books that have the dead heat reduction. On BetMGM, you would get the full payout. Because of this, I'm usually willing to take slightly worse odds.

Action’s BetMGM bonus code also unlocks up to $1,500 in bonus bets for new sign-ups.

As for Putnam, this is a perfect course for him. He's not long off the tee, but he's extremely accurate. He's a top-10 approach player in the field and one of the best putters on the PGA Tour.

He's also been consistent all year and has clearly taken a liking to TPC Summerlin, finishing in the top 20 in three of his last four visits.

Thanks for reading and good luck this week!

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