The Players Championship Outright Bets 2024: 3 Bets to Win at TPC Sawgrass

The PGA Tour season continues this week with The Players Championship 2024 hosted by TPC Sawgrass (Stadium Course).

Our golf betting experts have already peppered the board at open on Monday with The Players Championship Outright Bets, and they have bets for three different golfers ready for this Signature Event.

Find our The Players Championship Outright Bets below.

The Players Championship Outright Bets 2024

Jason Sobel: Will Zalatoris +3200 (bet365)

My best advice for this week might be to hope Scottie Scheffler posts something close to an even-par opening round and his pre-tournament odds of +600 move to a more palatable number, so we can snatch him up in the live markets. I can’t in good conscience, though, recommend him at that opening price, so instead I’ll pivot to a player who at one point on the weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational appeared to be cruising to a title.

If you turned off the television on Saturday afternoon when Will Zalatoris held a five-stroke advantage and figured it was over, welcome to the wild world of professional golf, where even an elite talent like Willy Z. can go from 60 to 0 in a matter of minutes, slamming on the brakes and ultimately finishing in a share of fourth place, eight shots behind the winner.

Even so, his game looks verrrry close to winning soon, and whether that happens this week, four weeks from now at the Masters, or at a tournament like the U.S. Open, it might have as much to do with how Scheffler plays as it does Zalatoris. It’s asking a lot based on what we just witnessed, but a head-to-head win over the No. 1-ranked player just might be enough to beat everyone else, too.

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Spencer Aguiar: Sam Burns +4500 (bet365)

When I ran my data this morning, this was not the return I expected from my model. My math seemed to think that the "scrambling" profile for golfers like Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns, Max Homa and Brian Harman received the most significant increase in projection because of TPC Sawgrass' volatile nature.

Burns increased his expected Weighted Proximity by 90 spots over his baseline projection, and the high-end numbers continued to roll in after he yielded additional top-10 totals for Weighted Total Driving, Scrambling, Historical Data on Short Par-72s and TPC + Pete Dye success.

It is not a shocker that TPC Sawgrass is a combustive course that demands the perfect profile to even make the cut, and Burns has shown that safety for the most part in 2024. The Sunday round from him at Bay Hill likely jolted this price 10 points higher than it should have been after a rocky final round, but I will grab what has likely shifted into a value situation.

Matt Gannon: Russell Henley +5500 (bet365)

If there is a massive event that Russell Henley can actually win, it's The Players. He does all his best work on shorter Bermuda tracks that require precision. Luckily for Henley, TPC Sawgrass is the A1 shorter Bermuda track that we see on the PGA Tour.

Across his career, he has been a pretty bad putter but always flashed on Bermudagrass from time to time. Over the first two weeks in Florida, his putter has heated up. He was near the top of the putting statistics at PGA National and Bay Hill, which are both Florida Bermuda greens.

His ball-striking is his strength, and that showed at Bay Hill. Now, he heads to a track that suits him very well, and the game is in a great spot. Henley looks confident, and 55-1 is a great number on a golfer who knows how to win.