Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2025

Braves at Pirates

8:05 pm • FDSSO
3 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Andrew Heaney logoA.HeaneyPittsburgh Pirates logo3.152-3
AJ Smith-Shawver logoA.Smith-ShawverAtlanta Braves logo2.762-2

Braves at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
20-21
-1.5
-1.5+110
o9-104
-154
Pirates
14-28
u8.5
+1.5-131
u9-116
+130
location pinSaturday 8:05 p.m.
May 10, 2025
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Braves vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 57-52-0 (-1.3u)
A.Smith-Shawver u2.5 Earned Runs+100
1u
Smith-Shawver is -155 to go u15.5 pitching outs, so I’m expecting about 5 innings here. With the Pirates implied for 4.2 runs, I like u2.5 earned runs for him given the likely short leash. Projections do have Smith-Shawver closer to about 2.7 earned runs but he’s been in good form lately having gone u2.5 earned runs in three straight starts including eight innings of shutout ball last game. The Pirates are averaging 3.1 runs per game this season, lowest in baseball, so I’m willing to back Smith-Shawver at these odds and in this matchup.
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 249-293-4 (-37.4u)
Over 9-110
1.1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 79-71-2 (-2.9u)
Under 9-108
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 114-137-8 (-27.5u)
PIT +147
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 189-195-2 (+47.7u)
A.Smith-Shawver u4.5 Ks+100
1u

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Braves vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Braves

Public

83%

Bets%

17%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
17-2510-127-134-1113-14
Braves
18-2310-98-1412-196-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
16-23-310-11-16-12-26-910-14-3
Braves
16-22-37-11-19-11-213-17-13-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
14-289-135-155-109-18
Braves
20-2113-67-1517-143-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 9thATLW 3-2+1.5 WU 8.5PIT +126
May 7th@STLL 0-5+1.5 LU 7.5STL +156
May 6th@STLL 1-2-1.5 LU 7STL -118
May 5th@STLL 3-6+1.5 LO 8.5STL +112
May 4thSDL 0-4+1.5 LU 9SD -112

Braves vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Braves Injuries

  • Ronald Acuna
    RF

    Acuna is out with knee

    Out

  • Joe Jimenez
    RP

    Jimenez is out with knee

    Out

  • Austin Cox
    RP

    Cox is out with knee

    Out

  • Spencer Strider
    SP

    Strider is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Nacho Alvarez
    SS

    Alvarez is out with wrist

    Out

Pirates Injuries

  • Johan Oviedo
    SP

    Oviedo is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Jared Jones
    SP

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jared Triolo
    2B

    Triolo is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Spencer Horwitz
    1B

    Horwitz is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

Braves vs. Pirates Box Score
Braves Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
AJ Smith-Shawver logoRA.Smith-Shawver, P975.271
Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P90.200
Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P90.220
Rafael Montero logoRR.Montero, P140.201
Daysbel Hernandez logoRD.Hernandez, P271.100
Scott Blewett logoRS.Blewett, P17210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Alex Verdugo logo1A.Verdugo, LF0-4000
Austin Riley logo2A.Riley, 3B0-4000
Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH1-4000
Stuart Fairchild logo3S.Fairchild, PR0-0000
Stuart Fairchild logo3S.Fairchild, DH0-0000
Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B1-5211
Ozzie Albies logo5O.Albies, 2B0-5000
Sean Murphy logo6S.Murphy, C1-3100
Michael Harris logo7M.Harris, CF1-4001
Eli White logo8E.White, RF1-4000
Nick Allen logo9N.Allen, SS0-1000
Drake Baldwin logo9D.Baldwin, PH0-1000
Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS0-0000
Luke Williams logo9L.Williams, PR0-1000
Luke Williams logo9L.Williams, SS0-1000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Andrew Heaney logoLA.Heaney, P82622
Tanner Rainey logoRT.Rainey, P19110
David Bednar logoRD.Bednar, P16120
Dennis Santana logoRD.Santana, P10110
Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P8100
Chase Shugart logoRC.Shugart, P19100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF0-4100
Liover Peguero logo1L.Peguero, SS0-1000
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, RF0-4000
Tommy Pham logo2T.Pham, RF0-1000
Andrew McCutchen logo3A.McCutchen, DH0-4000
Joey Bart logo4J.Bart, C4-4001
Ji Hwan Bae logo4J.Bae, PR0-0100
Henry Davis logo4H.Davis, C0-1000
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo5K.Hayes, 3B1-4000
Matt Gorski logo6M.Gorski, 1B2-5001
Matt Gorski logo6M.Gorski, CF2-5001
Adam Frazier logo7A.Frazier, 2B1-4000
Alexander Canario logo8A.Canario, LF1-4000
Jared Triolo logo9J.Triolo, SS0-3000
Jared Triolo logo9J.Triolo, 1B0-3000

Braves vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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Braves at Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Braves
20-21
o4.5-131
u4.5+102
Pirates
14-28
o3.5-132
u3.5+103