Braves vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2025

Braves at Pirates

8:05 pm • FDSSO

Atlanta Braves

20-21

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

14-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Heaney			3.15	2-3
A.Smith-Shawver			2.76	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 20-21	-1.5	-1.5+110	o9-104	-154
Pirates 14-28	u8.5	+1.5-131	u9-116	+130

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 10, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

A.Smith-Shawver u2.5 Earned Runs+100

Smith-Shawver is -155 to go u15.5 pitching outs, so I’m expecting about 5 innings here. With the Pirates implied for 4.2 runs, I like u2.5 earned runs for him given the likely short leash. Projections do have Smith-Shawver closer to about 2.7 earned runs but he’s been in good form lately having gone u2.5 earned runs in three straight starts including eight innings of shutout ball last game. The Pirates are averaging 3.1 runs per game this season, lowest in baseball, so I’m willing to back Smith-Shawver at these odds and in this matchup.

Over 9-110

1.1u

Under 9-108

PIT +147

A.Smith-Shawver u4.5 Ks+100

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 7-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Pirates' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	17-25	10-12	7-13	4-11	13-14
Braves	18-23	10-9	8-14	12-19	6-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	16-23-3	10-11-1	6-12-2	6-9	10-14-3
Braves	16-22-3	7-11-1	9-11-2	13-17-1	3-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	14-28	9-13	5-15	5-10	9-18
Braves	20-21	13-6	7-15	17-14	3-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 9th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +126
May 7th	@STL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	STL +156
May 6th	@STL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 7	STL -118
May 5th	@STL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +112
May 4th	SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9	SD -112

Ronald Acuna
RF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	97	5.2	7	1
RP.Johnson, P	9	0.2	0	0
LD.Lee, P	9	0.2	2	0
RR.Montero, P	14	0.2	0	1
RD.Hernandez, P	27	1.1	0	0
RS.Blewett, P	17	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-5	2	1	1
5O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6S.Murphy, C	1-3	1	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8E.White, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Baldwin, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Williams, PR	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Williams, SS	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	82	6	2	2
RT.Rainey, P	19	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	2	0
RD.Santana, P	10	1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	8	1	0	0
RC.Shugart, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	0-4	1	0
1L.Peguero, SS	0-1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-4	0	0
2T.Pham, RF	0-1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Bart, C	4-4	0	1
4J.Bae, PR	0-0	1	0
4H.Davis, C	0-1	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
6M.Gorski, 1B	2-5	0	1
6M.Gorski, CF	2-5	0	1
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-4	0	0
9J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0
9J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0