Braves vs Pirates Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 9, 2025

Braves at Pirates

10:40 pm • FDSSO

Atlanta Braves

3-4

2 - 3

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			11.25	0-2
B.Elder			5.30	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 3-4	-1.5	-1.5+112	o8.5-120	-148
Pirates 0-0	u8.5	+1.5-132	u8.5-102	+126

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 09, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8.5-105

Temps in mid 50s - Neither pitcher a non-FIP estimator reaching 4.5 - PIT 81/78/55 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, ATL 85/71/73 - two good defenses & respectable bullpens

O.Cruz o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.00

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+460

0.5u

PIT +1.5-130

0.77u

Braves flailing on the road – 6-15 last 21 away, avg just 3.77 runs/game. Pirates stronger at PNC – allow only 3.47. ATL road ERA 4.69 vs PIT home ERA 4.50. Over is 7-1 in last 8 in Pittsburgh – home bats show up. Pirates offense quietly heating. Bryce Elder a problem – 42.3% HardHit%, .341 xWOBA, just 15.9 K%. Pirates hitters match up well: Cruz 60.5% HardHit%, .411 xWOBA. Reynolds 46.2%, Hayes 48.6%, McCutchen .376 xWOBA. Elder walks too many (8.7 BB%) – contact + traffic = trouble. Braves bullpen untrustworthy – Iglesias 5.40 ERA, Minter 4.15 ERA with ugly 1.96 WHIP. Pirates can capitalize late.

PIT +1.5-130

2.31u

ATL -148

0.25u

PIT +125

1.25u

B.Elder u2.5 Earned Runs-130

0.65u

Pirates implied for just 4 runs and missing Pham/Triolo from lineup. Taking a shot at this given the lineup.

PIT +0.5 (F5)-125

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+520

0.3u

B.Elder u4.5 Ks-150

1.5u

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

ATL -148

4 Home Run Prop Bets & Parlay for Friday Night
Grant Neiffer•
May 9, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 47 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	80-82	39-42	41-40	38-44	41-36
Braves	82-80	40-41	42-39	55-59	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	81-75-6	47-32-2	34-43-4	45-35-2	34-39-4
Braves	74-81-7	36-41-4	38-40-3	55-54-5	18-27-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	82-80	44-37	38-43	47-35	34-43
Braves	94-68	52-29	42-39	70-44	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	@STL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	STL +156
May 6th	@STL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 7	STL -118
May 5th	@STL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	STL +112
May 4th	SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 9	SD -112
May 3rd	SD	L 1-2	-	U 9.5	SD -120

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	99	6	8	3
RE.De Los Santos, P	16	1	2	0
LA.Bummer, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
5E.White, LF	1-4	1	0
5E.White, RF	1-4	1	0
6S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-2	0	1
8S.Fairchild, RF	0-2	0	0
8A.Verdugo, PH	1-2	1	0
8A.Verdugo, LF	1-2	1	0
9N.Allen, SS	2-3	0	0
9D.Baldwin, PH	1-1	0	1
9L.Williams, PR	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	89	6	3	0
RC.Shugart, P	11	0.2	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	5	0.1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	23	1	3	0
RD.Santana, P	22	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Gorski, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Canario, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8T.Pham, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Triolo, SS	1-3	1	1	1