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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2025

Blue Jays at Red Sox

10:45 pm • NESN

Toronto Blue Jays

4-3
6
6 - 2

Boston Red Sox

2-5
2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Richard Fitts logoR.FittsBoston Red Sox logo5.002-4
Jose Berrios logoJ.BerriosToronto Blue Jays logo4.189-5

Blue Jays at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays
4-3
+1.5
+1.5-185
o8-118
+110
Red Sox
2-5
u8.5
-1.5+154
u8-105
-130
location pinMonday 10:45 p.m.
April 07, 2025
Fenway ParkBoston
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 74-93-0 (+5.0u)
TOR +115
0.58u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 105-87-0 (+3.1u)
R.Fitts u2.5 Earned Runs-140
0.7u
Just a sprinkle here. Projecting him to go 5 innings so just need him to be efficient 🤞
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 279-260-8 (-0.7u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-166
0.93u
2.81% ev
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 8-105
1.05u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 18-45-0 (-27.7u)
TOR +108
2.7u
🔑 Blue Jays ML +108 (FanDuel) 2.5u Red Sox coming off a double header. Berrios was bad his 1st start but looked better his second, I like this spot for him tn. Fitts came out of nowhere this spring and I feel the Blue Jays can get to him tn. Love fading a team off a double header sweep. Vladdy gonna earn that contract tn
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 137-127-3 (+4.7u)
BOS -126
0.25u
ONLY IF YOU BET TORONTO. Taking a piece off Jays ML. Make Boston -110 after pitching change to Berrios. Under 8.5 good to -115
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 99-90-3 (+26.0u)
BOS -117
1u
#BQ
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 76-63-4 (+3.7u)
J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-104
0.96u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 279-260-8 (-0.7u)
R.Fitts u5.5 Hits Allowed-110
0.43u
1.96% ev
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 99-90-3 (+26.0u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+540
0.1u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOS -134
1u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 10-11-0 (-0.1u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-140
1u
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 73-121-1 (+8.3u)
R.Fitts o1.5 BB+100
0.5u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 224-258-1 (-9.8u)
V.Guerrero o1.5 Total Bases-110
$1.00
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 194-202-4 (-22.7u)
Under 9-105
0.95u
Easton Lucas generates 53.8% groundballs – keeps hitters off barrels. Richard Fitts allows just 45% flyballs and no barrels so far. Both arms suppress lift and exit velo. Toronto’s lineup hitting just .257 with a 4.21 ERA allowed. Boston better but inflated by Abreu. Lucas dominates the zone – 71.9% swing rate on strikes, no barrels allowed. Fitts commands well – 60.6% in-zone rate, 76.7% swing rate. Both catchers pop fast and control the run game – less chaos, less scoring. Fenway winds blowing in early April = dead ball. Neither team red-hot: Jays 0-3 on the road, scoring 2.7 runs/game in those. Red Sox 3-4 in last 7 vs AL teams, despite 5-game streak. No lineup updates yet, but early game + cold + sharp starters = slugfest unlikely.
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 127-133-5 (-20.9u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500
0.4u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 61-78-2 (-55.4u)
TOR +115
3.45u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 137-127-3 (+4.7u)
TOR +120
0.6u
Update: Small to +120 after pitching change; can take a piece off
Under 9-105
0.5u
Bet to 8.5, -115

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

  • Zerillo's Monday MLB Predictions & Picks article feature image

    Zerillo's Monday MLB Predictions & Picks

    Sean Zerillo•
    Apr 7, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Blue Jays

Public

Home Logo

Red Sox

11%

Bets%

89%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Red Sox' 1 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox		2-51-01-52-40-1
Blue Jays		2-52-40-12-5N/A

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox		4-30-14-23-31-0
Blue Jays		3-42-41-03-4N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox		2-51-01-52-40-1
Blue Jays		4-34-20-14-3N/A

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 6thSTLW 18-7+1.5 WO 9.5BOS -122
Apr 6thSTLW 5-4+1.5 WU 9BOS -116
Apr 4thSTLW 13-9+1.5 WO 9.5BOS -121
Apr 3rd@BALW 8-4+1.5 WO 9.5BOS +109
Apr 2nd@BALW 3-0-1.5 WU 7.5BOS -127

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Blue Jays Injuries

  • Jose Berrios
    SP

    Berrios is out with elbow

    Out

  • Anthony Santander
    RF

    Santander is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Shane Bieber
    SP

    Bieber is out with elbow

    Out

  • Bowden Francis
    SP

    Francis is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trey Yesavage
    SP

    Yesavage is out with shoulder

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Triston Casas
    1B

    Casas is out with knee

    Out

  • Patrick Sandoval
    SP

    Sandoval is out with elbow

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with wrist

    Out

  • Romy Gonzalez
    1B

    Gonzalez is out with shoulder

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Box Score
Blue Jays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jose Berrios logoRJ.Berrios, P88721
Yimi Garcia logoRY.Garcia, P24110
Jeff Hoffman logoRJ.Hoffman, P9110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Bo Bichette logo1B.Bichette, SS1-5100
Vladimir Guerrero logo2V.Guerrero, 1B2-4100
Anthony Santander logo3A.Santander, DH1-4100
Andres Gimenez logo4A.Gimenez, 2B0-2201
George Springer logo5G.Springer, RF4-4103
Alejandro Kirk logo6A.Kirk, C2-5000
Will Wagner logo7W.Wagner, 3B1-4001
Ernie Clement logo7E.Clement, 3B0-0000
Nathan Lukes logo8N.Lukes, CF2-5001
Myles Straw logo8M.Straw, CF0-0000
Alan Roden logo9A.Roden, LF0-4000
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Richard Fitts logoRR.Fitts, P102643
Greg Weissert logoRG.Weissert, P31112
Robert Stock logoRR.Stock, P29201
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, LF2-3000
Rafael Devers logo2R.Devers, DH0-3001
Alex Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B1-4000
Triston Casas logo4T.Casas, 1B1-3001
Trevor Story logo5T.Story, SS1-4000
Wilyer Abreu logo6W.Abreu, RF0-4000
Connor Wong logo7C.Wong, C0-0000
Carlos Narvaez logo7C.Narvaez, C0-4000
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-3000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, CF0-2200

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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Blue Jays at Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Blue Jays
4-3
N/A
N/A
Red Sox
2-5
N/A
N/A