Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2023

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

12-26

13 - 7

Chicago Cubs

22-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.06	16-5
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 12-26	+1.5-122	o7.5-122	+170
Cubs 22-16	-1.5+102	u7.5-103	-207

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

September 20, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 8-105

@Zerillo

M.Keller o5.5 Ks+100

PIT +150

1.5u

CHC -1.5+125

J.Steele o5.5 Ks-135

0.74u

CHC -166 (F5)

0.83u

Bet to -172

Under 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to 8 (-118) or 7.5 (+100)

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Collin Wilson•
Sep 20, 2023 UTC
Wednesday NRFI: Custom Bet for Perez & Steele
Shayne Trail•
Sep 20, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs are 25-3 (.893) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is slugging just .404 on fastballs since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 64% of the time since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Cody Bellinger is batting .339 with RISP this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Opponents are hitting .316 (50-for-158) against Mitch Keller with RISP this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (308/676) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (308/676) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 11-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Cubs' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	20-18	9-10	11-8	12-10	8-8
Pirates	13-25	7-12	6-13	4-11	9-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	22-14-2	13-6	9-8-2	12-9-1	10-5-1
Pirates	16-20-2	10-8-1	6-12-1	6-9	10-11-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	22-16	10-9	12-7	14-8	8-8
Pirates	12-26	7-12	5-14	5-10	7-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 19th	PIT	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 9	CHC -162
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ARI -118
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -112
Sep 16th	@ARI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -138
Sep 13th	@COL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	U 11.5	COL -193

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	95	5.2	6	7
LR.Borucki, P	16	0.2	0	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	15	0.2	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	14	1	2	0
RH.Stratton, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	2-6	1	1	3
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	1	0	1
3K.Hayes, 3B	3-5	2	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	3-5	3	1	2
5J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	1	0	1
6J.Triolo, 2B	3-5	2	1	2
7H.Davis, DH	1-4	0	0	2
8L.Peguero, SS	1-5	1	0	2
9J.Delay, C	0-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	76	3	6	6
RJ.Cuas, P	11	1	1	1
RH.Wesneski, P	18	1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	13	1	0	3
RB. Boxberger, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Palencia, P	32	1.2	2	2
LL.Little, P	8	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	1-3	1	0	0
1P.Wisdom, PH	1-1	0	0	1
1P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-1	0	0	0
1P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	2-5	1	1	4
4C.Bellinger, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	0
6S.Suzuki, RF	1-3	0	0	1
7C.Morel, DH	1-4	1	1	1
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	3-4	2	0	0