Rangers vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - April 24, 2023

Rangers at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Texas Rangers

49-47

6 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

43-52

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Lodolo			6.29	2-1
N.Eovaldi			3.63	12-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 49-47	N/A	N/A	N/A
Reds 43-52	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

TEX -110

1.1u

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

CIN -103

CIN +105

0.53u

Bet to -104

TEX -110 (F5)

Both SP estimators very similar, far below ERAs - CIN def 6 Runs Prevented worse (28th) - CIN wRC+ 88 Hm/77 v RHP/34 L7 days, TEX 105/91/163

N.Eovaldi u1.5 BB-125

Eovaldi has stayed under this in 3 of 4 games and his 1st pitch strike & zone% will likely only go up going forward (meaning his BB/9 is unlikely to go up much, if at all). He’s also faced 23% of hitters with runners in scoring position (17% in his career) and that number should go down as his .422 BABIP comes back down to Earth. His walk rate goes way up with runners in scoring position, so this is another reason why he may walk fewer hitters going forward. Eovaldi walks RHB at a lower rate and the Reds lineup will have 6 of them today. Projecting this closer to -175

Under 8.5-115

CamIs💰

CIN -102

CIN -110 (F5)

CIN -102

N.Lowe o0.5 RBI+240

0.5u

TEX -108

0.4u

Bet more at PointsBet (-105)… if they haven’t limited you this season already 🤮

TEX -105

$10.00

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 24, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 40-18 (.690) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Nate Lowe is batting .425 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 72 total CB-- 94th Percentile.

Marcus Semien is batting .378 on the road this season -- fifth best among hitters with at least 30 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .397 (27-for-68) against Nick Lodolo at home this season -- worst among qualified SPs-- first Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed a BABIP of .448 this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 -- first Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a BABIP of .536 against right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .305 -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .366 (15-for-41) against Nathan Eovaldi this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .517 (15 GB hits out of 29 GBs) against Nick Lodolo this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 26-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Reds' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	50-45	24-26	26-19	15-13	35-31
Rangers	43-53	21-25	22-28	18-29	23-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	53-41-1	27-23	26-18-1	18-10	35-30-1
Rangers	47-43-6	22-23-1	25-20-5	21-23-3	24-20-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	43-52	22-28	21-24	16-12	27-39
Rangers	49-47	24-22	25-25	24-23	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	@PIT	L 0-2	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	@PIT	L 1-2	-	-	-
Apr 21st	@PIT	L 2-4	-	-	-
Apr 20th	@PIT	L 3-4	-	-	-
Apr 19th	TB	L 0-8	-	-	-

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out with elbow
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Eovaldi, P	89	6	7	3
RD.Dunning, P	26	1.2	1	2
RJ.Leclerc, P	19	0.1	1	0
LW.Smith, P	6	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
2R.Grossman, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3N.Lowe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	2-4	2	2	3
6E.Duran, SS	3-4	1	0	0
7L.Taveras, CF	1-3	1	0	1
8S.Leon, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Jankowski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Jankowski, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Thompson, LF	1-2	1	0	0
9J.Heim, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Heim, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	86	4	6	6
RB.Farmer, P	32	2	1	0
RI.Gibaut, P	15	1	2	0
RL.Sims, P	10	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-3	3	0
2T.Friedl, LF	2-4	1	1
2T.Friedl, CF	2-4	1	1
3S.Steer, 3B	2-4	2	2
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	1
4S.Fairchild, PR	0-0	1	0
4S.Fairchild, LF	0-0	1	0
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0
6W. Myers, 1B	1-3	0	0
7H. Ramos, DH	1-3	0	1
8N.Senzel, CF	0-3	0	1
8L.Maile, C	0-0	0	0
9J.Barrero, SS	0-4	0	0