Royals vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2024

Royals at Orioles

8:08 pm • ESPN2

Kansas City Royals

2-0

1 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			1.13	0-1
C.Ragans			0.90	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 2-0	+1.5	+1.5-185	o7+100	+124
Orioles 0-2	u7	-1.5+154	u7-120	-148

Tuesday 8:08 p.m.

October 01, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

C.Burnes u4.5 Ks (Live)+108

0.54u

KC +122

2.44u

Bobby

Over 3.5 (F5)-102

2.04u

Over 3.5 (F5)-105

Over 7+105

🔑 BAL/KC o7 runs +105 (Caesars) 2u That value is so good. The Os bats have heated up and both bullpens are not good. An easy path to 8 runs even with these pitchers starting. Public is all over the under here, fading it.

C.Ragans u6.5 Ks-166

0.5u

BAL -148

0.5u

BAL -142 (F5)

0.5u

KC +126

1.26u

C.Burnes o5.5 Ks+144

BAL -143

$1000.00

Over 6.5-115

1.15u

G.Henderson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

1.05u

KC +130

0.65u

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Under 3.5 (F5)-120

Sura

BAL -144

2.88u

Under 3.5 (F5)-122

Full breakdown on YouTube. Player Prop Savant YouTube channel

Under 6.5-105

KC +0.5 (F5)-124

Sandy

KC +124

1.24u

Avery

KC +0.5 (F5)-124

Under 7-120

0.83u

#ProSystem High scoring teams postseason Overall: 70-24-4,74% (ROI:43%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 6.5+100

Johnny

Under 7-106

0.94u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

C.Burnes o17.5 Outs-130

0.77u

KC +140

4.2u

T.Pham u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

BAL -150

1.5u

Over 3.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 153-85-7,64% (ROI:26%)

Featured Insight
The Royals are batting .316 with RISP over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Orioles RPs with RISP over the last week -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles won 62% of their games last season -- second best in MLB. Royals won just 35% of their games last season -- second worst.

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The Orioles are 78-7 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

MJ Melendez has an OPS of just .700 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .607 (2,365 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (473/732) since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (331/496) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	0-2	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Royals	3-3	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@MIN	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +110
Sep 28th	@MIN	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +101
Sep 28th	@MIN	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8	BAL +124
Sep 26th	@NYY	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 8	NYY +142
Sep 25th	@NYY	W 9-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL +110

Seth Lugo
SP
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
SP
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Ragans, P	80	6	8
LS.Long, P	10	1	0
LK.Bubic, P	20	0.2	0
RL.Erceg, P	23	1.1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-3	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-3	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	0-3	0	0
6G.Hampson, LF	0-0	0	0
7T.Pham, RF	0-3	0	0
8K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0
9M.Garcia, 3B	1-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	84	8	3	1
RC.Burnes, P	84	8	3	1
LK.Akin, P	13	0.2	0	0
RS.Dominguez, P	3	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Westburg, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7H.Kjerstad, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0	0