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MLB Odds & Picks for Cardinals vs. Rockies: How to Bet on Miles Mikolas & St. Louis

MLB Odds & Picks for Cardinals vs. Rockies: How to Bet on Miles Mikolas & St. Louis article feature image
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Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images. Pictured: Miles Mikolas (Cardinals)

  • The Cardinals have won seven games in a row, and now will take on the Rockies at Coors Field on Tuesday.
  • St. Louis will send Miles Mikolas to the hill while Colorado has Ryan Feltner on the bump.
  • Here's how Nick Martin is betting this game.

Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds

Cardinals Odds -176
Rockies Odds +148
Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-120)
Time 8:40 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

St. Louis will head to Colorado in the midst of a seven-game winning streak, which included a sweep over the visiting Yankees this past weekend at Busch Stadium.

In a matchup pitting Miles Mikolas against Ryan Feltner, the Cards will be heavy favorites to keep their streak alive on Tuesday

After Chad Kuhl’s addition to the 10-day IL, Feltner (5.75 ERA) was recalled from Triple-A Albuquerque.

Meanwhile, Mikolas is working on another very strong campaign, with a 2.92 ERA in 138 innings.

Will St. Louis push its streak to eight on Tuesday at Coors?

Cardinals’ Mikolas Owns Edge

St. Louis’ current 9-1 tear brings its record to 60-48, which is good for a two-game lead over the Brewers atop the NL Central.

Over the last 30 days, the Cardinals’ offensive form has trended up significantly. The top BB/K rate in the league (0.53) has set the tone for a scrappy unit, which has batted to a wRC+ of 125 with a wOBA of .344.

Few pitchers have an ideal matchup at Coors, and that billing may certainly apply to Mikolas, whose HR/FB of 11.55% is likely unsustainable moving forward.

However, any matchup against Colorado — for the time being — may certainly suit his eye due to the team’s recent offensive splits. Also, historically, Mikolas has a .254 xwOBA in previous matchups against the Rockies’ roster.

Mikolas xERA of 3.75 does suggest the regression seen through July — in which he owned a 3.58 ERA — should continue moving forward. But he is still offering a significant pitching edge to his side over spot starter, Feltner.

Mikolas’ stuff has rated tremendously this season, with a spectacular QOPA of 5.30. Mikolas may have somewhat of a flair for making big pitches at the right times, as he has found a way to overachieve his expected marks in each of the last four seasons.

Can Rockies Snap Offense Back Into Form?

Colorado’s offense has been in notably poor form over the last 30 days — with a wRC+ of just 95. The Rockies do have the third-highest BABIP league-wide during that time (.327), and that has likely helped to somewhat cover up that poor form.

The Rockies have hit to considerably worse splits against right-handed pitching on the season, with the fifth-worst wRC+ in the league.

Feltner has managed a 5.60 xERA in 40.2 innings in MLB this season, with a WHIP of 1.45.

Feltner features mainly poor metrics — as you might expect for a player up-and-down from the big leagues to Triple-A — and his stuff has not rated well this season.

Cardinals-Rockies Pick

Feltner has had a notably tough beginning to his MLB career, and a matchup at Coors against a red-hot Cardinals offense likely won’t help him breakthrough with better results.

With a solid starter like Mikolas on the mound for the Cards, I feel this contest should be sitting closer to -190.

I see value looking towards both the Cardinals moneyline at -175 and the Cardinals runline at -115.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Runline -115 (Play to -120)

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