The Boston Red Sox host the Houston Astros on May 3, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -158 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Astros are +134 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Red Sox Prediction
- Astros vs Red Sox Pick: Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits
My Astros vs Red Sox best bet is Alvarez to record 2+ hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Red Sox Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 8.5 -120o / -102u | +134 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 8.5 -120o / -102u | -158 |
- Astros vs Red Sox moneyline: Astros +134, Red Sox -158
- Astros vs Red Sox over/under: 8.5 (-120o / -102u)
- Astros vs Red Sox spread: -1.5 (+130), Astros +1.5 (-160)
Astros vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Cody Bolton | Stat | Ranger Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| 12-21 | W-L | 13-19 |
| 0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 5.79 / 4.60 | ERA / xERA | 3.09 / 3.61 |
| 5.08 / 4.91 | FIP / xFIP | 3.38 / 3.61 |
| 6.8 | K-BB% | 15.2 |
| 36.4 | GB% | 38.3 |
| .304 | BABIP | .231 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 102 | Location+ | 106 |
Astros vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez for 1.43 hits, giving us an 8.7% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with a B- grade in our system.
Astros vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Alvarez will face a Red Sox pitching staff that has been inconsistent, and he remains one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball when it comes to racking up hits in bunches. He already has 42 hits on the season and continues to be a central piece of Houston’s offense.
While he’s only cleared this number once in his last five games, that outing featured a three-hit performance that highlights his ability to go well beyond this number when he gets going. Zooming out, Alvarez has gone over in six of his last 10 games, a multi-hit threat.
Pick: Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits
