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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Dodgers vs Reds, A’s vs Rays, Phillies vs Mets, More for Thursday, September 17

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Dodgers vs Reds, A’s vs Rays, Phillies vs Mets, More for Thursday, September 17 article feature image
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Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images. Pictured: Rays 3B Junior Caminero

There's NFL and college football, but we also have an exciting 9-game MLB slate on Thursday, with plenty of bangers.

I'm bringing you picks for four matchups, including Dodgers vs. Reds (12:40 p.m ET), Athletics vs. Rays (1:10 p.m ET), and Phillies vs. Mets (7:15 p.m. ET).

Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers LogoCincinnati Reds Logo
12:40 PM
Oakland Athletics LogoTampa Bay Rays Logo
1:10 PM
San Diego Padres LogoColorado Rockies Logo
3:10 PM
Philadelphia Phillies LogoNew York Mets Logo
7:15 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Pick

Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Thursday, Sept. 17
12:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Cincinnati Reds Logo
Kyle Tucker Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is an incredible spot for Kyle Tucker, and these odds are too high.

Reds starter Brady Singer is a gas can for power and has well above average splits, allowing a massive 2.10 HR/9 to lefties this season.

Tucker has had an off year, but he's been in better form recently. This ballpark is a massive upgrade for him, and the weather should be great for hitting in Cincy.

I have the true odds for the Dodgers RF at around +320.

Pick: Kyle Tucker Home Run



Athletics vs Rays Prediction, Pick

Oakland Athletics Logo
Thursday, Sept. 17
1:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Junior Caminero Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is an incredible spot, and these odds are a bit too high.

Athletics SP Jeffrey Springs has been absolutely hammered this season by power, allowing a massive 2.18 HR/9 to righties.

This ballpark isn't great, but Junior Caminero is one of the best power hitters in the league.

I have the true odds for the Rays 3B at around +250.

Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run



Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Pick

San Diego Padres Logo
Thursday, Sept. 17
3:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Colorado Rockies Logo
Hunter Goodman Home Run
HardRock Logo

Hunter Goodman might not play today, but if he does, these odds are far too high.

Padres starter Michael King grades out as an average-to-slightly-below-average matchup for righty power.

This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and Goodman is one of the best HR hitters in the league.

I have the true odds for the Rockies catcher at around +400.

Pick: Hunter Goodman Home Run



Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Pick

Philadelphia Phillies Logo
Thursday, Sept. 17
7:15 PM ET
FOX
New York Mets Logo
Francisco Lindor Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The spot here is a great one for Francisco Lindor, and the odds are too high.

Phillies SP Aaron Nola has been hammered by lefty power this season, allowing a large 1.85 HR/9. The weather is a plus for hitting today, with temperatures in the high 70s and wind blowing out at 9 MPH.

I have the true odds on the Mets SS at around +370 today.

Pick: Francisco Lindor Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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