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Mariners vs. Yankees MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Should You Really Fade New York? (Tuesday, August 2)

Mariners vs. Yankees MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Should You Really Fade New York? (Tuesday, August 2) article feature image
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Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images. Pictured: Logan Gilbert (Mariners)

  • The Mariners look to even their three-game set vs. the Yankees in the Bronx.
  • Seattle is looking to make a statement for its postseason aspirations, and it is sending Logan Gilbert to the hill to help.
  • Jules Posner breaks down the matchup and offers up his best bet.

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds

Mariners Odds +140
Yankees Odds -165
Over/Under 8.5
Time 7:05 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The New York Yankees look to clinch the series victory on Tuesday by taking game two of their three-game set against the Seattle Mariners.

The Yankees took game one by a convincing 7-2 score on Monday, and they will turn to Jameson Taillon in game two.

On the other side, Mariners starter Marco Gonzales got knocked around for six runs in 5 1/3 innings. Logan Gilbert will be tasked with trying to pull the Mariners even in the series.

This is going to be an interesting test for Seattle. With the trade deadline occurring earlier on Tuesday and Luis Castillo in the fold, the Mariners are looking to make a statement by taking a road series against the New York Yankees.

Monday was not a great start, though.

Will Gilbert Be Able to Carry the Mariners?

The Mariners’ 14-game win streak feels like years ago now that they have found themselves in a 4-6 10-game stretch.

After being swept by the Houston Astros at home and dropping three-of-four to the Astros on the road, a series loss to the Yankees may not reflect well on the Mariners’ postseason prospects.

The Mariners’ offense has struggled so far in the second half and has only posted a 41 wRC+ on the road against RHP since the All-Star break. While they have upgraded their starting pitching, their lineup has fallen into an untimely funk.

Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners, and he has posted some solid standard numbers paired with some shaky peripherals. He’s posted an impressive 2.47 ERA with a less impressive 3.67 FIP and an even less impressive 4.15 xFIP on the road this season.

While Gilbert does have some scary peripherals, he still has outstanding stuff and he’s fared well against the other American League teams in playoff contention that he’s faced this season.

Unfortunately, the Mariners’ bullpen has struggled lately, so Gilbert may have to carry the Mariners on Tuesday.


Judge, Yanks on Different Level Offensively

Aaron Judge simply cannot stop hitting home runs, and the Yankees continue to dominate every facet of the game against all opponents.

As they kids say: “They’re built different.”

Taillon gets the ball for the Yankees. He seems to have rebounded from a rocky patch and has been excellent in his last three starts. He’s especially tough at home, posting a 3.16 ERA, 3.09 FIP and a 3.57 xFIP over 62 2/3 home innings.

The Yankees’ bullpen has been pretty solid this season, but if there is any weak spots on the team, it’s the middle relief. The addition of Lou Trivino seems to be a step in the right direction, but his regular season numbers always seem to underwhelm when compared to his postseason appearances.

Mariners-Yankees Pick

If this matchup occurred last month, it would be a coin flip. However, it is August, and the Mariners need to make a move if they have serious aspirations of doing more than just ending a playoff drought.

Any total is unsafe around the Yankees, but Mariners moneyline opened at +145 and moved to +140 pretty quickly.

Gilbert has electric stuff, and despite some concerning peripherals, he has been able to up his game on bigger stages, just as he did his last two times out against Houston, when he struck out 14 and allowed just four earned runs in 12 combined innings (both in what wound up Seattle losses, unfortunately for him).

Mariners moneyline should be the play at +135 or better.

Pick: Mariners ML +140

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