We have a full 15-game MLB slate on Friday.
As always, I'm bringing you bangers, and we'll be focusing on Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20 p.m ET) and the night games.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article. Make sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 2:20 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Pirates vs Cubs Best Bet
The spot here is a good one for Esmerlyn Valdez and the odds are way too high.
Shota Imanaga is a gas can for righty power, allowing a large 1.74 HR/9 on the season.
The weather is below average, but Valdez has been hammering the ball since coming into the league.
I have the true odds around +350 today.
Pick: Esmerlyn Valdez Home Run (+400)
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Orioles vs Blue Jays Best Bet
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CES) is in a great spot today and the odds are far too high.
Scherzer has been a gas can for power this season, allowing a 1.82 HR/9 to righties and a 1.89 HR/9 to lefties.
Scherzer has been better the last few starts, but he's landed on the right side of HR/FB variance in those starts and still grades out as a great matchup for power.
I have the true odds on CES around +400 today.
Pick: Christian Encarnacion-Strand Home Run (+470)
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Dodgers vs Marlins Best Bet
The price on Mookie Betts seems drastically too high given the spot and his recent form.
Ryan Gusto has been decent this season, but he's struggled heavily with righty power, allowing a 1.52 HR/9.
Betts has struggled this season, but he's been in good from recently, with 2 bombs in his last 3 games.
Pick: Mookie Betts Home Run (+740)
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Rangers vs Diamondbacks Best Bet
Merrill Kelly has been terrible this season, and his time has being a serviceable pitcher in the league has likely passed.
He is allowing a massive 1.88 HR/9 to lefties this season, and I don't see that changing anytime soon.
Corey Seager has been in great form recently, and I have the true odds around +350 today.
Pick: Corey Seager Home Run (+450)
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Mariners vs Athletics Best Bet
The spot here is a great one for Randy Arozarena given his recent form.
Jeffrey Springs has been a complete gas can for righty power this season allowing a massive 2.26 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power and the weather is above average with temps in the mid 80s and wind blowing out at 8 MPH.
Randy has been been hitting the ball well since the All Star Break with 11 bombs in 50 games.
I have the true odds around +300 today for Randy.
Pick: Randy Arozarena Home Run (+356)
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