The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles on September 11, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Blue Jays are favored by -143 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +119 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more. Additionally, click here to download the Action Network app.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Pick: Jackson Holliday 1+ Home Run
My Orioles vs Blue Jays best bet is a HR pick on Jackson Holliday. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -186 | 8 -105o / -115u | +119 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +153 | 8 -105o / -115u | -143 |
- Orioles vs Blue Jays moneyline: Orioles +119, Blue Jays -143
- Orioles vs Blue Jays over/under: 8 (-105o / -115u)
- Orioles vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+153 ), Orioles +1.5 (-186)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| Chris Bassitt (RHP, BAL) | Stat | Max Scherzer (RHP, TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | W-L | 2-7 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 4.96 / 5.09 | ERA / xERA | 6.03 / 4.24 |
| 4.52 / 4.70 | FIP / xFIP | 5.65 / 5.34 |
| 7.2% | K-BB% | 7.7% |
| 45.7% | GB% | 34.2% |
| .337 | BABIP | .247 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 100 | Location+ | 104 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
I am not buying into any sort of resurgence for Max Scherzer. I look at THE BATcast stuff model, and his pitch quality has still been pretty bad over his last couple of starts. This isn't the dominant Max Scherzer everyone knew a few years back — he’s frankly become one of the weaker starting pitchers in baseball. THE BAT X currently projects his true-talent ERA north of 5.00 going forward.
On the other hand, I have Orioles' Jackson Holliday to get the start and bats leadoff against virtually every right-handed pitcher these days, giving him a prime platoon advantage tonight against Scherzer. Scherzer’s biggest flaw has always been yielding fly balls and giving up long balls to left-handed hitters — an issue that only gets worse as his overall effectiveness declines.
Scherzer coughed up nine home runs over his first six starts of the season. While he’s only given up four over his last seven starts — including a flukey seven-inning, 10-strikeout shutout — regression is bound to hit him hard.
At current market pricing, Jackson Holliday To Hit A Home Run (+950 at Fanatics) offers top-tier value on the board. You can also find +850 at DraftKings and Caesars, and I like taking this prop all the way down to +775.
Pick: Jackson Holliday 1+ Home Run
