The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds on September 11, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Brewers are favored by -196 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +164 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
- Reds vs Brewers Pick: Under 7.5 (+106)
My Reds vs Brewers best bet is Under 7.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Reds vs Brewers Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -137 | 7.5 -130o / 106u | +164 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +114 | 7.5 -130o / 106u | -196 |
- Reds vs Brewers moneyline: Reds +164, Brewers -196
- Reds vs Brewers over/under: 7.5 (-130o / +106u)
- Reds vs Brewers spread: Reds +1.5 (-137), Brewers -1.5 (+114)
Reds vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Andrew Abbott (LHP, CIN) | Stat | Dustin May (RHP, MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | W-L | 6-9 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.6 |
| 4.43 / 4.90 | ERA / xERA | 4.69 / 4.31 |
| 4.78 / 4.84 | FIP / xFIP | 3.51 / 3.99 |
| 7.5 | K-BB% | 14.6 |
| 40.3 | GB% | 42.4 |
| .277 | BABIP | .322 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 99 | Location+ | 102 |
Reds vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the total for this Reds vs. Brewers matchup, with a 4.2% edge on the under.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Reds vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
BARTOLO projects the Reds for 3.18 runs and the Brewers for 4.07 tonight, which would bring the total under the line.
The Milwaukee pitching staff is the key here. Dustin May gets the ball today, and Zerillo ranks him 68th among all starting pitchers.
Also, their bullpen. As you can see here, BARTOLO rates their relievers as one of their strengths, taking the sixth spot.
It will be a tough task for a Cincinnati lineup that ranks 28th in MLB in wRC+ with a 93 rating this season.
For the under in this game, you also have to consider the Brewers offense.
Despite being one of the league's most productive teams, they perform much worse against left-handed pitchers like Andrew Abbott than against righties.
Milwaukee ranks second in wRC+ (111 rating) vs. RHP, but falls to 13th against southpaws with a 96 rating.
Let's go with BARTOLO's projection and pick the under tonight.
Pick: Under 7.5 (+106, FanDuel)
