The San Diego Padres host the New York Yankees on September 6, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -114 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Padres Prediction
- Yankees vs Padres Pick: Michael King Under 17.5 Outs (+135)
My Yankees vs Padres best bet is on King to record under 17.5 outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Padres Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -185 | 7 -110o / -110u | -114 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +150 | 7 -110o / -110u | -105 |
- Yankees vs Padres moneyline: Yankees -114, Padres -105
- Yankees vs Padres over/under: 7 (-110o / -110u)
- Yankees vs Padres spread: Yankees -1.5 (+150), Padres +1.5 (-185)
Yankees vs Padres Probable Pitchers
| Gerrit Cole | Stat | Michael King |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | W-L | 9-9 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 3.29 / 3.40 | ERA / xERA | 3.11 / 4.38 |
| 3.30 / 3.56 | FIP / xFIP | 4.19 / 4.33 |
| 20.7 | K-BB% | 11.8 |
| 36.2 | GB% | 45.2 |
| .287 | BABIP | .252 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 105 | Location+ | 101 |
Yankees vs Padres MLB Betting Preview
Yankees vs Padres Pick, Betting Analysis
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 15.51 pitching outs for Michael King compared to 17.86 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 65% of the time, resulting in a 52% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $52.00. This play is good down to at least -143.
Pick: Michael King Under 17.5 Outs (+135)
