Orioles vs. Blue Jays Betting Odds, Picks: The First-Five Inning Bet to Make (Aug. 16)
Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images. Pictured: Alek Manoah (Blue Jays)
- After taking the first game of a three-game set, the Orioles look to capture another victory against the Blue Jays on Tuesday.
- Toronto continues to struggle offensively without George Springer, and now they must face bounce-back pitcher Dean Kremer.
- Jules Posner breaks down the matchup and offers up a best bet.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds
|Blue Jays Odds||-205|
|Over/Under||8.5 (-120 / +100)|
|Time||7:07 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The Baltimore Orioles continue to make a push for a postseason spot after taking game one on Monday night of their three-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Over the past 10 games, the Jays are 3-7. Meanwhile, the Orioles continue to hold stead with a 6-4 record in their last 10.
The Jays look to pull even on Tuesday behind their ace Alek Manoah. Not only do they hope to pull even, but they are also looking to hold off the Orioles for one of three wild-card spots up for grabs.
Dean Kremer takes the hill for the Orioles, as he looks to keep his squad in a hunt for a wild-card slot.
Orioles Need a Bullpen Spark
Despite trading away one of their best bats, the Orioles continue to hit. They have posted a 121 wRC+ against RHP on the road over the past two weeks, which is good for fifth in MLB.
Kremer looks to build upon a bounce-back 2022 campaign. Although he’s been weaker on the road this season, he’s still posted respectable road numbers. Over 31 2/3 road innings, Kremer has posted a 3.98 ERA and a 3.81 FIP.
However, his 4.68 xFIP means he’s been outperforming his expected stats.
One area for concern is the Orioles’ pen. They have been in a little bit of a slump of late. Since the trade deadline — when they parted with their closer Jorge Lopez — the bullpen has been in the bottom half of the league in FIP, while being just slightly above average in ERA.
Jays Missing George Springer
Speaking of slumps, the Blue Jays’ offense continues to struggle without George Springer at the top of the lineup. They’ve fallen to 12-13 in his absence, and they have the lowest wRC+ in the league against RHP at home over the past two weeks.
Manoah gets the ball for the Blue Jays, and he’s looked relatively mortal since July. He’ll only be making his third home start since the start of July, and he’s been much better at the Rogers Centre this season.
While the Jays have a relatively reliable closer, their bullpen is still an unreliable unit overall. It’s really tough to trust them, especially as the season starts to wind down.
Orioles-Blue Jays Pick
Considering the Blue Jays’ offensive struggles, it’s tempting to fade them when their opposition is over .500 with +185 odds.
The main question here is if Manoah can rise to the occasion on his home turf in a meaningful game against a division rival.
Kremer has posted respectable numbers, and the Jays have struggled offensively, which means there’s a chance the Orioles’ starter can squeak through the order a couple of times before turning things over to the bullpen.
The total for the first five innings is set at five runs at -110 odds. That seems like a reasonable value for a matchup that could become an early pitcher’s duel.
Look for Manoah to step up and for Kremer to survive long enough to achieve the under in the first five innings. Play it at -115 or better.
Pick: F5 Under 5
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