The San Francisco Giants host the New York Yankees on March 25, 2026. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Netflix.
I've got a crazy player prop on one Yankee player, valued at a whopping +4700, while my model puts the odds nearly half that.
Read on for my Giants vs Yankees Props and MLB predictions for Opening Day.
Giants vs Yankees Props, Predictions
Cody Bellinger 1+ Triples (+4700)
Did you think I was going to open the season with a strikeout prop I’m showing a 63% chance to hit? Nope.
Let’s have some fun with a wild longshot.
I’m in line with both starting pitcher props for Opening Day, so I did some digging on hitter props, and my jaw dropped when I saw Bellinger at +4700 to hit a triple.
Obviously, the odds are still slim that he actually gets one, but this is offering way too much value according to my model.
Bellinger had five triples last season, which ranked 11th in MLB. But Yankee Stadium is the second toughest park for triples because of its dimensions.
He gets a massive boost playing at Oracle Park, a place that literally has a section called Triples Alley in right-center, and the park itself ranks top 5 in triple park factors.
It’s obviously a tougher matchup against Logan Webb, who generates a high ground-ball rate with his sinker and keeps hitters off balance with a five-pitch mix.
But Bellinger is a pretty ideal counter. He’s also the toughest Yankee hitter to strike out, and I’m only giving him around a 15-17% chance to strike out in each of his three or four plate appearances in the opener.
Another sneaky factor is that we should see Jung Hoo Lee make his first start in right field, with the Giants using Harrison Bader in center field this year. Lee already doesn’t have great range in the outfield, and while he knows Oracle Park’s weird center/right-field quirks, it still could take some time adjusting to those angles from right field instead of center field. That might be enough to help Bellinger turn a potential double into a triple.
Is this a crazy Opening Day bet? Yes.
Do I still love it at +4700 because I project it closer to +2800? Also yes.
It’s a long season. I’m not trying to be perfect. I’m trying to chip away at +EV bets and have some fun — this wager checks both boxes.
Pick: Cody Bellinger 1+ Triples (+4700, DraftKings)
