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Padres vs Phillies NLCS Game 3 Odds, Picks, Same Game Parlay in MLB Playoffs

Padres vs Phillies NLCS Game 3 Odds, Picks, Same Game Parlay in MLB Playoffs article feature image
Credit:

Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Manny Machado and Bryce Harper.

Padres vs. Phillies Game 3 Odds

Padres Odds -115
Phillies Odds -105
Over/Under 7.5
Time 7:37 p.m. ET
TV FS1
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Phillies won a pitchers duel 2-0 in Game 1. However, the bats woke up in Game 2.

The Padres used a five-run fifth inning to fuel a comeback from an early 4-0 deficit and the team went on to 8-5.

Tied 1-1, the series shifts to Philadelphia. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for the Padres while Ranger Suarez will oppose him. Here is a same game parlay.

The Parlay (odds): +714

  • Manny Machado to Record 2 Total Bases (+105)
  • Bryce Harper to Record 2 Total Bases (+135)
  • Jean Segura to Record a Hit (-170)

Same-Game Parlay – Padres vs. Phillies Game 3

Manny Machado to Record 2 Total Bases

Manny Machado enjoyed another big regular season. The Padres third baseman hit .298 with 32 home runs, 102 runs batted in and a .898 OPS. He has continued that success in the postseason, where he is hitting .306 with an 1.014 OPS.

Machado has recorded a hit in six of the Padres’ nine postseason games. He has 11 hits with three doubles and three home runs. That gives a total of 23 total bases. meaning he is averaging 2.5 total bases per game in the postseason. Machado has faced Suarez just twice in their careers, although he is 1-for-2 against him.

Machado has four multi-hit games this postseason. Additionally, more than half of his hits this postseason have been for extra bases. Whether Machado records two hits or one extra base hit, I feel good about his chances to record two bases.

Bryce Harper to Record 2 Total Bases

Machado and Bryce Harper have long been connected. Bryce Harper was the first overall pick in the 2010 draft while Machado went third. Harper went to the Nationals while Machado went to the Orioles, meaning they were the faces of MLB’s Beltway franchises. Like Machado, Harper is also having a big postseason.

Harper is 13-for-31 (.419) with four home runs, seven runs batted in and a 1.390 OPS. Harper is on a seven-game hitting streak with five multi-hit games in that span. Harper has used his great power to drive the ball for extra bases. Harper has four doubles to go along with his four home runs, meaning 61% of his hits this postseason have gone for extra bases.

Harper is just 3-for-14 in his career against Musgrove. However, in Game 1, Harper entered just 1-for-6 against Yu Darvish. That did not stop from depositing a ball into the seats. Given the hot streak he is on, Harper is difficult to fade ride right now regardless of matchup. I expect him to get two total bases either with two hits or an extra base hit.

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Jean Segura to Record a Hit

Segura is not the power hitter that Harper and Machado are, but few are. He also does not have a hit in this series. However, I expect him to bounce back for a few reasons.

Despite the 0-for-7 start to begin this series, Segura is still hitting .280 this postseason. That puts him right in line with the .277 average he finished the regular season with. Segura consistently puts the ball in play as he is one of the better contact hitters in the league. He had a 38.3% hard hit rate in the regular season, which was slightly above average.

Segura will see Musgrove, who has a deep repertoire of pitches. Three of them are the four-seam fastball, sinker and changeup. Against those pitches, Segura posted the following numbers: four-seam fastball (.268 average, 48.4% hard hit rate) sinker (.348, 33%) and changeup (.316, 48.4%). That might explain why Segura is 5-for-15 (.333) lifetime against Musgrove.

Segura recorded a hit in five of his first seven postseason games. Despite his slow start to this series, I expect him to bounce back with a favorable matchup against Musgrove.

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