The Indiana Pacers (18-59) and Cleveland Cavaliers (48-29) will face off in the NBA this evening. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. ET from Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The game will broadcast live on FDSIN.
The Cavaliers are 16.5-point favorites over the Pacers on the spread (Cavaliers -16.5), with the over/under set at 240.5 total points. Cleveland is a -2100 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Indiana is +1100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Pacers vs. Cavaliers predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, April 5.
Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Pick
- Pacers vs Cavaliers pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-135)
My Cavaliers vs. Pacers best bet is on Donovan Mitchell to make over 1.5 three-pointers. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Pacers vs Cavaliers Odds
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16.5 -110 | 240.5 -105o / -115u | +1100 |
| Cavaliers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16.5 -110 | 240.5 -105o / -115u | -2100 |
Pacers vs Cavaliers NBA Preview
Today’s Eastern Conference showdown between the Pacers and Cavaliers offers a prime opportunity in the player prop market.
While much of the focus is on Cleveland’s playoff positioning, our Action PRO projections have identified a significant edge on Cavaliers’ guard Donovan Mitchell.
Mitchell has been locked in from distance as the regular season winds down. He has cleared this 2.5-mark in five of his last seven games, including a 4-of-7 performance from deep in his most recent outing against the Warriors on April 2.
Over his last 10 games, Mitchell is averaging 6.4 attempts from beyond the arc.
In a high-stakes divisional game, expect Mitchell to maintain — or even exceed — that volume, especially with backcourt mate James Harden focusing more on facilitation (averaging 7.0 assists over the same stretch).
The Pacers are essentially a skeleton crew tonight. With Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam, and Aaron Nesmith all ruled out, Indiana’s perimeter defense is severely compromised.
Mitchell should find himself facing a rotation of secondary defenders who lack the experience to navigate Cleveland’s off-ball screens.
Pacers vs Cavaliers Predictions, Betting Analysis
Even when healthy, the Pacers have struggled to contain the perimeter. They currently rank 25th in overall defensive rating (119.5 points allowed per game).
Against a defense that is bottom-five in both points and field goal percentage allowed, Mitchell’s path to three triples is clear.
Our Action PRO modeling is showing substantial value on this line. While the market is hovering around 2.5, we are projecting Mitchell to finish with 3.9 three-pointers in today’s game.
Given the massive projection edge and the decimated state of the Pacers’ rotation, we expect Mitchell to find his rhythm and hit 3+ three-pointers against Indiana tonight.
Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-135)
