College Baseball Odds, Projections: How to Bet Monday’s NCAA Regional Finals (June 6)
Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Brock Jones.
Welcome the college baseball live journal for plays through Regionals, Super Regionals and finally, the College World Series. Because college baseball managers like to hold starting pitcher information close to the vest, plays and projections can be tough to manage.
Bookmark this page, as it will include projections for every game along with any bets I make.
Regional Projections for Monday, June 6
North Carolina vs. VCU
Projection: North Carolina -250 · Total: 14.5
Both teams should return to Friday night starters in Max Carlson for North Carolina and Tyler Davis for VCU.
Davis went for 67 pitches on Friday and should be rested and may be backed by Campbell Ellis, who ended Saturday with just 56 pitches.
An early opener of North Carolina -245 is high, especially considering VCU has not taxed its pitching staff.
Oklahoma State vs. Arkansas
Projection: Oklahoma State -130 · Total 11.5
The Pokes are light on arms after a Sunday that saw seven different pitchers with Trevor Martin and Mitchell Stone each throwing over 115 pitches.
Justin Campbell threw 89 pitches on Saturday and will be backed by Friday starter Victor Mederos.
Arkansas threw Friday starter Connor Noland for less than 30 pitches on Sunday, making him available for Monday. All hands will be on deck for the Hogs with Saturday starter Hagen Smith and Sunday starter Jaxon Wiggins each recording less than 50 pitches.
Keep an eye out for the Oklahoma State starter, as Campbell is the only pitcher on the staff who would be favored over Arkansas.
Stanford vs. Texas State
Projection: Stanford -230 · Total 13.5
The Cardinal will turn to Joey Dixon, who started Friday’s game and went 75 pitches. Stanford got more than 110 pitches out of Alex Williams and Quinn Mathews over the weekend, leaving any help for Dixon up to the bullpen.
The Bobcats will turn to a few names on the staff who have yet to see action, as Zeke Wood and Levi Wells each threw over 100 pitches in Game 1 and Game 2.
Maryland vs. UConn
Projection: Maryland -170 · Total 12.6
The Terrapins may opt to throw Friday starter Ryan Ramsey, but be on the lookout for ace Jason Savacool, who threw 109 pitches on Saturday.
Maryland had nine different pitchers throw on Sunday, so depth may be an issue in the Regional final.
UConn may look to a couple of names that have yet to make an appearance. The Huskies’ starter on Friday, Austin Peterson, may have limited availability after throwing 109 pitches.
Ole Miss vs. Arizona
Projection: Ole Miss -125 · Total 11.3
Arizona will have to win twice to take the Regional after weather delayed the Coral Gables games on Friday.
The Rebels have used just six pitchers so far, as Ole Miss took the first meeting on Saturday with Dylan DeLucia going over 100 pitches. Ole Miss has a trio of pitchers with numerous starts to choose from for this regional final.
In contrast, Arizona used eight different pitchers on Sunday with TJ Nichols throwing over 100 pitches. Considering the freshness of the bullpens, Ole Miss will attract plenty of wagers.
Southern Miss vs. LSU
Projection: Southern Miss -140 · Total 10.8
The Golden Eagles are expected to turn to staff ace Tanner Hall after going 109 pitches on Friday.
LSU will look to win the regional with a combination of pitchers, including Friday starter Ma’Khail Hilliard. Every pitcher in the Tigers’ pen has seen action in Hattiesburg so far, helping the effort in multiple comebacks.
Oregon State vs. Vanderbilt
Projection: Oregon State -190 · Total 12
The Beavers are expected to turn of ace Cooper Hjerpe to keep Corvallis as a host site in the Super Regionals.
Carter Holton may go for Vanderbilt after throwing 94 pitches on Friday, but other starters — such as Christian Little — have yet to see action.
Florida vs. Oklahoma
Projection: Oklahoma -115 · Total 13.1
The Gators took Sunday night from the Sooners to force Monday action for the Gainesville Regional.
Florida has thrown almost every name on the pitching staff but is questionable to return to Friday’s starter Brandon Sproat after he threw 114 pitches. One option may be Timmy Manning, who recorded less than a dozen pitches on Sunday.
Oklahoma will push for top starters Jake Bennett and David Sandlin to anchor a Sooners upset in advancing to Blacksburg.
Louisville vs. Michigan
Projection: Louisville -310 · Total 15.5
While Garrett Schmeltz got the lion’s share of the work on Friday, Louisville may opt to start Tate Kuehner. Michigan will look to Connor O’Halloran and Jacob Denner to keep the Louisville lineup at bay.
There will be plenty of steam in the market after Louisville boat-raced Michigan, 20-1, on Sunday.
East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina
Projection: Coastal Carolina -115
With Reid VanScoter throwing just 85 pitches on Friday, Coastal Carolina will have its ace available before going to the bullpen.
East Carolina will take an all hands on deck approach, allowing just one pitcher to go over 50 pitches through three days of action.
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