Gainesville Regional Odds & Picks: How to Bet Florida & Texas Tech in NCAA Tournament
Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Florida catcher BT Riopelle.
Gainesville Regional Odds
Check out Collin Wilson's full NCAA Baseball Tournament betting preview with bets for all 16 Regionals here.
Game 1: UConn (43-15) vs. Texas Tech (39-21) · Noon ET Friday · ESPNU
Game 2: Florida (44-14) vs. Florida A&M (29-28) · 5:30 p.m. ET Friday · ESPN+
The SEC Tournament Championship game was all hands on deck for Florida, which allowed 10 earned runs in the first three innings.
The loss did nothing to stop Florida from pulling the No. 2 national seed and drawing two of the worst defensive teams in Texas Tech and Florida A&M. UConn was sensational in making the Super Regionals just a year ago, taking the opening win at Stanford before losing two straight.
Florida is expected to throw Brandon Sproat, potentially saving Hurston Waldrep and Jac Caglianone for the Huskies on Saturday.
Sproat has thrown two complete games this season while eclipsing 100 strikeouts in 84 innings. The best two-way player, Caglianone, has plenty of Shohei Ohtani in his game, jacking the second-most home runs in Division I while making 15 pitching starts for the Gators.
Sproat is projected -195 against Hunter Viets of Florida A&M with a whopping total of 15.
Pitcher gets tossed for celebrating a strikeout, so Jac Caglianone mashes a grand slam the very next inning and absolutely does not celebrate.
— Lucas Dolengowski (@LDolengowski) April 16, 2023
The Texas Tech showdown with UConn is projected a near dead heat at -105 for the Red Raiders' Mason Molina versus the Huskies' Garrett Coe. The total in this game projects at 13.7, boosted by an above-average Park Factors number powered by the Gators' total runs in Condron Park.
If there's hesitation with one of these teams when it comes to record on the road, the Red Raiders won only six games away from Lubbock compared to 18 for UConn.
In lieu of playing UConn +115 in the opening game, the Regional price of +500 does have value, but it would need a hedge against Florida in the winners' bracket.
Florida owns one of the best strikeout-to-walk ratios in Division I, but expect a pesky UConn team to give the Gators a small sweat.
- Series: UConn +500 (Hedge Head-to-Head With Florida)
- Game 1: UConn +115 vs. Texas Tech
- Game 2: Florida vs. Florida A&M Over 14 or Better