Texas A&M vs Oregon Odds, Predictions: Our Top College Station Super Regional Pick

Texas A&M vs Oregon Odds, Predictions: Our Top College Station Super Regional Pick article feature image

Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Texas A&M’s Brad Rudis.

Texas A&M vs Oregon Odds, Predictions

Texas A&M Aggies Odds-370
Oregon Ducks Odds+265

Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Super Regionals here.

The College Station Regional final was a bit anti-climactic.

Texas A&M defended Blue Bell Park to advance as host of the Supers, but it was a Game 2 showdown against the Texas Longhorns that had the ballpark buzzing. As the Aggies and Longhorns renewed their rivalry, a walk and a single were the difference for Texas A&M.

Credit must be given to head coach Jim Schlossnagle, as the Aggies had no hangover the following day in a closeout game against Louisiana.

THE ROOKIE GOES OPPO 🌮#GigEm x @GavinGrahovacpic.twitter.com/h4zZ1YvocW

— Texas A&M Baseball (@AggieBaseball) June 3, 2024

Oregon, meanwhile, flashed its 12-7 road record in the Santa Barbara Regional, winning with the minimum three games by taking down host UC Santa Barbara twice.

The 3-seed is sure to have detractors in College Station after posting a run differential of just +5 during Regional weekend.

The Ducks' pitching annihilated the Gauchos' lineup, limiting UC Santa Barbara to a grand total of eight hits and one run in 18 total innings. Starters Grayson Grinsell and Kevin Seitter dominated through 16 combined innings, so Oregon didn't have to dip into a bullpen that hovers around 5.2 in ERA and xFIP.

No opening line in the Supers will have a pitcher favored higher in the opener than Texas A&M's Ryan Prager. The anchor projects above -1000 against Oregon's RJ Gordon.

Not only do the Aggies hold an elite pitching advantage with the season-long numbers, but the lineup averages nearly two full runs more than the Ducks.

Oregon does have four players who have hit 10 home runs or more, but that's unsubstantial compared to Texas A&M's trio of Jace LaViolette, Braden Montgomery and Gavin Grahovac's 77 total home runs.

Texas A&M's true odds come in with a 96% probability of winning the College Station Super Regional. No amount of steam in the market will get the Aggies to their true series price of -1000.

Oregon's best shot to win this series is to follow a similar path as Santa Barbara: produce low-scoring games and keep the Aggies out of the Ducks' bullpen.

Unfortunately for UO, Texas A&M is firing on all cylinders while looking for its seventh trip to Omaha and its first-ever national title.

Pick: Texas A&M -400 or Better

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