Friday’s Sharp Report: Wiseguys Pounding Two NCAA Tourney Unders

Friday’s Sharp Report: Wiseguys Pounding Two NCAA Tourney Unders article feature image

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Great news: This article, which usually requires a subscription, is FREE to read today. Enjoy! While you’re here, take a look at our gambling-focused tools and content, and sign up for our daily email newsletter to get the best sports betting insight and analysis delivered to your inbox.

Just like Thursday’s round of 64 matchups, professionals have had plenty of time to get down on today’s slate of NCAA Tournament games. Interestingly, sharp bettors have remained very disciplined regarding Friday’s games, selecting only a couple of spots to aggressively get down their action.


After examining percentages, line movement and bet signals, here are two NCAA Tournament bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 2:45 and 3:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 8:30 a.m. ET

#15 Lipscomb vs. #2 North Carolina Under 162.5

2:45 p.m. ET

Today’s Lipscomb-North Carolina matchup opened with a total of 164.5 and the majority of bettors have been lining up to play the over. Sixty-six percent of tickets and 79% of dollars wagered on the total have taken the over, yet the line has dropped to a consensus of 162.5 across the betting market.

According to our Bet Signals — available to all Sports Insights Sportsbook Insider Pro subscribers — professional bettors have hit the under multiple times this week, highlighted by three Reverse Line Moves and one Steam Move. While the majority of action is playing the over, it’s clear that professional money is driving this total down.

#10 Butler vs. #7 Arkansas Under 151

3:10 p.m. ET

In a game attracting a surprisingly large handle, 62% of tickets wagered on the total are currently on the over. However, our money percentages reveal that 56% of dollars wagered have actually taken the under, revealing why this total has dropped from an opener of 153.5 down to 151.

Two Reverse Line Moves and one Steam Move were also triggered on the under earlier this week, confirming that sharp action is responsible for this line movement.

Top Photo: North Carolina Tar Heels guard Joel Berry II (2) reacts with North Carolina Tar Heels guard Brandon Robinson (4) and North Carolina Tar Heels forward Sterling Manley; credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports