The Cal State Northridge Matadors take on the Cal Poly Mustangs. Tip-off is set for 10:00 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
CSUN is favored by 1.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -130. The total is set at 176 points.
Here’s my CSUN vs. Cal Poly prediction and college basketball picks for February 5, 2026.
CSUN vs Cal Poly Prediction
My Pick: Under 176 or Better
My CSUN vs Cal Poly best bet is on Under 176 or Better. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
CSUN vs. Cal Poly Odds
| CSUN Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 176 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Cal Poly Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 176 -110o / -110u | +110 |
CSUN vs Cal Poly College Basketball Betting Preview
I project this total to be between 172 and 174 (based on how much I dampen the pace, which I do as the season progresses), so I show some value on the Under at the current market price.
This is an all-time sicko Under. These are the two fastest-paced teams in the nation by adjusted tempo. The first game finished with a whopping 80 possessions and 185 points.
Still, it took a couple of excellent shooting performances from both sides to hit that mark. CSUN shot 9-for-20 from 3 (45%), while Cal Poly ripped off a ridiculous 16-for-44 (36%) beyond-the-arc shooting performance.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw some regression in those marks. It’s worth mentioning that the Mustangs have shot just 27% from 3 at home this year, and those games finished 6-2 to the Under.
Regardless, I project 79.3 possessions for this ballgame, with CSUN scoring 1.12 PPP and Cal Poly scoring 1.07 PPP. Throw in some home-court advantage, and that’s how I get around 174 points.
My Pick: Under 176 or Better
