Professional Money Forcing Major LSU-Michigan State Over/Under Line Move
Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Michigan State Spartans head coach Tom Izzo
- The over/under for tonight's LSU-Michigan Sweet 16 matchup (7:09 p.m. ET, CBS) moved very little after opening five days ago.
- However, professional bettors jumped all over this total Friday morning, forcing a major adjustment from oddsmakers.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we analyze how sharp action is moving the LSU-Michigan State over/under.
We cover professional betting action a lot here at The Action Network. In fact, our Josh Appelbaum has already analyzed how sharps are betting tonight’s slate in his daily college basketball sharp report.
However, betting markets are fluid and real-time, hence why it’s so important to have access to live betting betting data when attempting to examine odds movement.
After opening at 149 back on Sunday at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, the over/under for tonight’s Sweet 16 matchup between LSU and Michigan State sat at 148 as of 10:05 a.m. ET today.
Despite ticking down one point, there was never enough movement to make any conclusions regarding where smart money was landing on this total, so little so that Appelbaum left the game off his Sweet 16 Sharp Report entirely.
But according to The Action Network’s betting tools, sharps got down — and got down hard — on this over/under shortly after 10 a.m. ET, forcing oddsmakers to make a massive adjustment to this total.
As mentioned above, this number was settled in at 148 earlier this morning before of flood of wiseguy money hammered the LSU-Michigan State over, driving it up two points at Westgate.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered a Steam Move on the over just before the major market adjustment, revealing that smart money was the catalyst for the move to 150.5.
Steam refers to situations in which professional bettors get down on the same side of one game all at once, at multiple different sportsbooks. Oddsmakers see this rush of money and react by moving lines to offset that action.
Despite this over/under movement, 64% of tickets and 67% of dollars wagered on the LSU-Michigan total have come in on the under at the time of writing.