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National Championship Odds: No Major Changes from Week 11

Nov 13, 2018 10:40 PM EST
  • Sportsbooks have updated their odds to win the College Football Playoff following Week 11.
  • With every top contender earning a win this week, no team inside of 1000-1 saw its odds increase after the past weekend.

Other than Boston College (+100000 last week), every team listed on the national championship odds board a week ago won in Week 11. As a result, there weren’t any major changes to this week’s odds.

In fact, no team inside of 1000-1 increased its implied chances at a national title.

A few teams did see a slight decrease in odds from the past weekend, but given the absence of any losses, those were likely a result of the market becoming sharper, or simply corrections to last week’s potential overreactions.

Here’s where each team now stands at Westgate.

Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.

Fallers

Alabama: -300 to -250 (75% to 71.43% implied probability)

Week 11 vs. Mississippi State: Won 24-0

After being listed at -300 for the first time all season last week, Alabama fell back to -250 despite another shutout victory. Still, that gives the Tide a greater than 70% chance at winning this year’s championship.

Notre Dame: +1000 to +1200 (9.09% to 7.69% implied probability)

Week 11 vs. Florida State: Won 42-13

For the second straight week, Notre Dame’s title odds took a hit despite a victory.

As other one-loss Power Five teams continue to win, Notre Dame’s spot in the College Football Playoff will continue to come into question, even if it does finish the season undefeated.

Oklahoma: +2000 to +3000 (4.76% to 3.23% implied probability)

Week 11 vs. Oklahoma State: Won 48-47

With a two-point conversion stop to close out Bedlam, Oklahoma kept its one-loss season alive on Saturday.

Still, the Sooners have looked beatable in both of their past two games, which makes it look a bit less likely that they’ll be in this year’s playoff.

Credit:

Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clemson receiver Amari Rodgers (3)

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue

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