National Championship Odds: No Major Changes from Week 11
Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clemson receiver Amari Rodgers (3)
- Sportsbooks have updated their odds to win the College Football Playoff following Week 11.
- With every top contender earning a win this week, no team inside of 1000-1 saw its odds increase after the past weekend.
Other than Boston College (+100000 last week), every team listed on the national championship odds board a week ago won in Week 11. As a result, there weren’t any major changes to this week’s odds.
In fact, no team inside of 1000-1 increased its implied chances at a national title.
A few teams did see a slight decrease in odds from the past weekend, but given the absence of any losses, those were likely a result of the market becoming sharper, or simply corrections to last week’s potential overreactions.
Here’s where each team now stands at Westgate.
Table defaults to preseason odds. Click on a date to sort.
Alabama: -300 to -250 (75% to 71.43% implied probability)
Week 11 vs. Mississippi State: Won 24-0
After being listed at -300 for the first time all season last week, Alabama fell back to -250 despite another shutout victory. Still, that gives the Tide a greater than 70% chance at winning this year’s championship.
Notre Dame: +1000 to +1200 (9.09% to 7.69% implied probability)
Week 11 vs. Florida State: Won 42-13
For the second straight week, Notre Dame’s title odds took a hit despite a victory.
As other one-loss Power Five teams continue to win, Notre Dame’s spot in the College Football Playoff will continue to come into question, even if it does finish the season undefeated.
Oklahoma: +2000 to +3000 (4.76% to 3.23% implied probability)
Week 11 vs. Oklahoma State: Won 48-47
With a two-point conversion stop to close out Bedlam, Oklahoma kept its one-loss season alive on Saturday.
Still, the Sooners have looked beatable in both of their past two games, which makes it look a bit less likely that they’ll be in this year’s playoff.