The Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Georgia Bulldogs in Athens, Georgia, on Saturday, Sept. 27. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia is favored by 3 points on the spread with a moneyline of -160. Alabama, meanwhile, comes into the game as a +3 underdog ans sits at +135 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 52.5 points.
Here’s my Alabama vs. Georgia predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 27.
Alabama vs Georgia Prediction
- Alabama vs. Georgia Pick: Over 53 or Better
My Georgia vs. Alabama best bet is on the over. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Alabama vs Georgia Odds
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
- Alabama vs Georgia Spread: Georgia -3, Alabama +3
- Alabama vs Georgia Over/Under: 52.5 Points
- Alabama vs Georgia Moneyline: Alabama +135, Georgia -160
Alabama vs Georgia Preview
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview: Positives for the Offense
There's good news on two fronts for the Alabama offense, starting with the health of Jam Miller. The starting running back will see action for the first time this season against Georgia after recording seven touchdowns and 14 explosives in 2024.
The offensive line grades 11th-best in stuff rate, indicating that Miller will help the Crimson Tide improve on a top-40 rank on third-down conversions.
The second positive is the work quarterback Ty Simpson has put in to this point. Alabama ranks as the second-highest passing offense in the nation in contested catches allowed.
Simpson has an adjusted completion rate of 82% while throwing nine touchdowns. He's also yet to record a turnover-worthy play.
After four drops in the opening loss to Florida State, Alabama has just two drops over the last eight quarters of play.
Defensive lineman Tim Keenan III will also play for the first time this season, fortifying an Alabama front that has a pass rush rank of 126th. The senior was one of the best run defenders in all of FBS in 2024, as the Tide needed a boost after severe struggles at the interior position defending inside zone.
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview: Question Marks on Defense
Georgia's offense deserves plenty of credit for surviving in a road victory against Tennessee. The Bulldogs posted 5.8 yards per play and a healthy 60% success rate in standard downs.
Georgia converted nearly half of its third downs thanks to an average distance of 5.7 yards.
The Bulldogs have struggled to find protection from the right side of the offensive line, as quarterback Gunner Stockton has seen 31 pressures on 106 dropbacks.
The Georgia defense has struggled to start 2025, particularly against the pass. The Bulldogs generally send a low amount of blitzes, but they've been unable to produce a pass rush inside the top 120 of FBS teams.
A coverage grade of 93rd isn't just from the potent Tennessee offense, as Austin Peay and Marshall combined for five explosive passes against the Bulldogs' secondary.
Cornerbacks Joenel Aguero, Daylen Everette and Daniel Harris have failed to create a pass breakup. The trio have combined to allow 21 of 31 targets to be caught for a total of 248 yards.
Alabama vs Georgia Pick, Betting Analysis
The addition of Keenan to the defensive line and Miller to the Alabama offensive backfield will pay dividends against Georgia.
Any improvement to the rushing attack of Alabama should clear up even more time for Simpson in passing attempts. Georgia ranks outside the top 100 in defensive pass efficiency and is now faced with three underperforming cornerbacks against wide receiver Ryan Williams.
Although Georgia struggles in defensive finishing drives, Alabama has been one of the worst in the nation. The Crimson Tide have allowed 4.4 points to opposing offenses crossing the 40-yard line.
To this point, Alabama has been weak against opponents' inside zone while producing a 45% Success Rate.
Action Network's betting power ratings predict that this game will have Georgia as a 3-point favorite with a total of 61 points.
Considering the nature of the first Kalen DeBoer and Kirby Smart battle in 2024 — along with inefficient corner play from Georgia — this game could see plenty of scores.
Pick: Over 53 or Better
