Washington vs. Arizona Betting Preview: Odds & Picks for Friday’s Pac-12 Game (October 22)

Washington vs. Arizona Betting Preview: Odds & Picks for Friday’s Pac-12 Game (October 22) article feature image
Credit:

Ezra Shaw/Getty Images. Pictured: An Arizona Wildcats football player walks out of the tunnel.

Washington vs. Arizona Odds

Friday, Oct. 22
10:30 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Washington Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-17.5
-105
45.5
-110o / -110u
-900
Arizona Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+17.5
-115
45.5
-110o / -110u
+600
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

Pac 12 After Dark on a Friday night? Yes please.

The conference of champions will give us a matchup that only a bettor could get excited for: winless Arizona hosting 2-4 Washington.

The Wildcats aren’t just winless this year; they’ve lost 18 straight overall. That losing streak actually started back in 2019 against these same Huskies. Arizona went into that game boasting a 4-1 record, but it’s been all downhill since.


Washington Huskies

Washington Offense

Washington has started 2-4 on the season, including a home loss to FCS Montana. This is primarily due to a lackluster offense that just can’t seem to find its footing.

The Huskies dealt with some injuries at wide receiver earlier in the season and then lost stud tight end Cade Otton for a few games due to COVID-19 protocols.

However, not much changed with all of them back in the mix last week against a suspect UCLA secondary.

The running game has also stalled out so far this season, but the primary culprit of the offense’s woes has been quarterback Dylan Morris, who has an equal amount of touchdowns and interceptions (eight) on the season with a sub-seven yards per attempt average.

I’m not sure why head coach Jimmy Lake hasn’t made a change yet. Even if he doesn’t want to burn the redshirt of five-star Sam Huard, Washington did bring in transfer Patrick O’Brien, who started games at Colorado State.


Washington Defense

Defensively, Washington has been fine but definitely not up to the standards of a typical Huskies defense.

You still can’t throw on the Huskies, who have one of the best cornerback duos in the country, led by future pro Trent McDuffie.

Speaking of future pros, Washington received some recent good news with the return of outside linebacker Zion Tupuola-Fetui, who will likely get drafted in the first two rounds of the NFL Draft.

He was expected to miss the entire season after tearing his Achilles six months ago but returned last week against UCLA and had seven pressures in 10 snaps.

Expect a much more generous snap count this week for the menace off of the edge who makes this defense much more formidable.

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Arizona Wildcats

Arizona Offense

It’s not pretty in Tucson, as new head coach Jedd Fisch has a complete rebuild on his hands.

Like Washington, Arizona also lost to an FCS school at home when it fell, 21-19, to Northern Arizona. That was the last game Will Plummer started before giving way to promising freshman Jordan McCloud.

Well, McCloud was lost for the year to injury one week before Gunner Cruz went down for the season. That leaves Plummer and walk-ons playing behind an atrocious line and an offense that just lacks talent overall.


Arizona Defense

As for the defense, it’s not much better. It allows 32 points per game, tied for 25th in the country.


Washington vs. Arizona Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Washington and Arizona match up statistically:

Washington Offense vs. Arizona Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 74 44
Line Yards 78 64
Pass Success 79 38
Pass Blocking** 98 120
Big Play 87 66
Havoc 75 61
Finishing Drives 64 97
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Arizona Offense vs. Washington Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 106 102
Line Yards 102 117
Pass Success 129 10
Pass Blocking** 67 69
Big Play 118 24
Havoc 121 109
Finishing Drives 127 64
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 47 80
Coverage 6 123
Middle 8 59 117
SP+ Special Teams 103 101
Plays per Minute 65 18
Rush Rate 47.4% (111) 46.6% (114)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Washington vs. Arizona Betting Pick

From an adjusted EPA per play perspective, Arizona has the worst offense in the country when you account for opponent and home-field advantage.

The Wildcats are just below a Rice team that seems to get shut out on a weekly basis. Now, they’re down to their third quarterback on the depth chart after losing two to injury in the past two weeks.

I’ll make the Wildcats prove they can score more than two touchdowns against an extremely talented Washington defense that won’t give up explosive plays, nor make it easy for Arizona to finish off drives in the red zone.

Arizona shouldn’t get anything through the air. I wouldn’t be shocked if Arizona gets shut out for a second straight week, assuming Washington shows up for this one.

Pick: Arizona Team Total Under 14

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