EDGE

Wilson: Week 7 CFB Projected Spreads and the Games I’m Looking to Bet on Sunday

Oct 07, 2018 8:36 AM EDT
  • With Week 6 of college football in the books, let's take a look at my projected spreads every Week 7 game.
  • I also pick out a few games I'll immediately be looking to bet (and the numbers I'm targeting) when the spreads open on Sunday.

Welcome to Sunday Morning Coffee. Let this column serve as your first look at the projected point spreads for Week 7’s college football matchups.

These numbers are based off my College Football Power Ratings, which you can find here.

When the real lines come out later on Sunday (usually around mid-afternoon on BetOnline), I’ll compare my power-rated spreads to what oddsmakers posted to find betting value before the odds move.

Be sure to follow me in The Action Network app to get alerts whenever I make a pick off these numbers.


College Football Week 7 Point Spread Projections

Numbers I’m Looking For

Georgia at LSU

Projected Spread: LSU +10.5
Number I Want: LSU +7 or better

My projected spread will differ from other power ratings systems, as I do not have LSU’s home-field advantage near as strong as others considering they have covered at home less than 50% over the past 10 years.

As for this game, Georgia still ranks outside the top 100 in adjusted sack rate, while its defense falls outside the top 80 in stuff rate and opportunity rate. LSU can keep this within a score.

Missouri at Alabama

GET THE ACTION NETWORK EDGE

Unlock this article and see who’s betting what, all for less than the price of a stadium beer.

Be A Better Bettor

START MY FREE TRIAL

Already an EDGE member? Sign In

Credit:

Julie Bennett-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Derrick Dillon

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
@_Collin1

Top Stories

THE ACTION NETWORK

Sign up for The Action Network free daily newsletter

The best sports betting trends, insights and news - condensed into a two-minute read.
Sign up today, thank us tomorrow.
Follow Us: @ActionNetworkHQ
Download the App
SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
MSU
MICH
+6.5
47.5
+7.5
41
LSU
MSST
-6.5
44.5
-6.5
45.5
TEM
CIN
-3.5
48.5
-3.5
47.5
ECU
UCF
+24
64.5
+21.5
65.5
USF
CONN
-31
70
-32.5
69.5
WASH
COLO
-17
51
-17.5
50
TCU
OKLA
+7.5
61
+7.5
62
WSU
ORE
-2
66
-3
69
UK
VAN
-11.5
48
-12.5
46.5
TENN
BAMA
+28.5
58
+29
57.5
CLEM
NCST
-17
53.5
-17.5
57.5
IOWA
MD
-13.5
51.5
-9
44
PUR
OSU
+12
64.5
+12
69
WISC
ILL
-25.5
54.5
-24
57
IND
PSU
+13
62
+14.5
59.5