The Miami (OH) RedHawks take on the Northern Illinois Huskies in DeKalb, Illinois. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Miami (OH) is favored by 4.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -200. The total is set at 38.5 points.
Here’s my Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 4, 2025.
Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Prediction
- Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois Pick: Northern Illinois +4.5 (-110, bet365)
My Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) best bet is on the Huskies to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Odds
| Miami (OH) Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | -200 |
| N. Illinois Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | +165 |
- Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois point spread: Miami (OH) -4.5
- Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois over/under: 38.5 points
- Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois moneyline: Miami (OH) -200, Northern Illinois +165
Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Pick
This game activated one of our Action PRO Betting Systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
Mature Market Moves Line Freeze is a college football system that looks for games where sharp money clearly favors one side but the betting line does not move significantly.
Regular-season games with a spread between one and six points are often closely contested, where even the smallest market signals can matter.
A large gap between the percentage of money and the percentage of tickets shows that bigger, sharper wagers are leaning in one direction while casual bettors are spread elsewhere.
When the spread barely shifts from open to close, it suggests bookmakers are confident in their number and are respecting sharp money rather than adjusting to public action.
This combination of tight spreads, sharp influence, and minimal movement creates situations where following the money side has consistently produced long-term value.
This game also aligns with one of my ever-trusty betting systems: Blindly Backing Northern Illinois head coach Thomas Hammock As An Underdog.
Hammock's teams typically play stingy defense (ranking top-50 nationally in EPA per Pass allowed and late-down conversion rate allowed) and run the ball (11th in rush rate), draining the clock en route to one-possession grinders — i.e., the perfect scenario for an underdog to cover.
Meanwhile, Miami is missing its quarterback, as Dequan Finn was injured two weeks ago against UNLV. I can only imagine that the RedHawks would also prefer a rush-heavy game script, considering Henry Hesson completed only 13 of 23 passes against FCS Lindenwood last week.
Pick: Northern Illinois +4.5 (-110, bet365)
