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Minnesota at Maryland Betting Odds & Pick: Can Golden Gophers Be Trusted to Cover? (Friday, Oct. 30)

Minnesota at Maryland Betting Odds & Pick: Can Golden Gophers Be Trusted to Cover? (Friday, Oct. 30) article feature image

Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Anthony McFarland Jr. (5) and Darryl Jones (21).

  • Tanner Morgan and the Minnesota Golden Gophers will travel to College Park to take on Taulia Tagovailoa and the Maryland Terrapins for some Friday night Big Ten action.
  • The Gophers did not impress when they hosted Michigan last week and may have trouble covering a large spread against a Terrapin squad that could also use improvement.
  • Check out Collin Wilson's full betting analysis with updated odds below.

Minnesota at Maryland Odds

Minnesota Odds -20 [BET NOW]
Maryland Odds +20 [BET NOW]
Moneyline -1115/+650 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 61 [BET NOW]
Time Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Odds updated as of Thursday and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Michigan doubled up Minnesota in the season opener, 49-24, and the game featured plenty of explosive plays.

The Wolverine defense stifled the Gophers in passing plays, as Minnesota posted a 27% Success Rate. Michigan came from every angle, defending four passes, making eight tackles for loss and sacking the quarterback five times.

Tanner Morgan is going to be feeling this all the way till 2021

— #BeatMSU Barstool Blue (@BarstoolUofM) October 25, 2020

The Gophers’ offensive line posted the third-worst grade of all active FBS teams, per Pro Football Focus. Despite Mohamed Ibrahim’s 140 yards, the offensive line graded 70th in run blocking. Minnesota has the quarterback and skill position players to do damage, but the offensive line must improve after right tackle Daniel Faalele opted out of the season and right guard Curtis Dunlap sat on the sideline with a cast on his leg.

The special teams unit was without its kicker, kickoff specialist and punter, which led to Michigan owning an average starting field position at the 40-yard line. There’s no word on whether or not the special teams players will return for Maryland.

The defense was just as gruesome, taking a PFF grade rank of 97th. The Gophers posted just one sack without a hurry for a defense that featured six new players in the front seven.

Maryland Terrapins

After last week, the question is if Northwestern is bound for the College Football Playoff or if the Terrapins are just the worst team in the Big Ten.

The answer is likely somewhere in between. While the Wildcats probably won’t sniff the playoff, Maryland did not post a single explosive drive. Instead, quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa threw three interceptions. On the positive side, the offensive line graded out 28th-best for pass blocking, per PFF. Mike Locksley has plenty of work to do in getting the quarterbacks in tune with the wide receiver unit.

Maryland's second drive ends in a turnover, as Taulia Tagovailoa's 9th passing attempt as a Terp lands in the hands of a Northwestern defender.

Wildcats get the ball right back in good field position.

— Henry Malone (@henrymalone_) October 25, 2020

Despite the three interceptions, Locksley gave his quarterback a vote of confidence to start the week.

Defensively, the Terrapins didn’t contribute much to stop Northwestern from scoring 43 points. Maryland did, however, limit the Wildcats to just one pass over 20 yards.

Betting Analysis & Pick

There are not many positives to write home about in the season opener for both clubs. Minnesota generated enough offense against Michigan to rank in the top 25 in Line Yards. While the Success Rate for the Gophers offense is in the top 25, the explosive element that led the team 2019 has disappeared.

From a pace standpoint, Maryland and Minnesota ranked 77th and 90th in seconds per play, respectively. Our Action Network projection makes this game Minnesota -13, giving a heavy edge to Maryland. Considering Minnesota is replacing the entire right side of the offensive line, breaking in a new front seven on defense and dealing with a coordinator change on offense, this is a team that cannot be trusted to lay three scores on the road.

Pick: Maryland +17.5 or better

[Bet Maryland now at DraftKings and get a $1,000 bonus, including a $500 risk-free bet]

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