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The Navy Midshipmen take on the UTSA Roadrunners in San Antonio, Texas, on Saturday, Oct. 17. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
UTSA is favored by -6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -265. Navy, meanwhile, enters as a 6.5 underdog and is +215 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 56.5 total points.
Here’s my Navy vs. UTSA prediction and college football pick for Saturday, October 17.
Navy vs UTSA Prediction
- Navy vs. UTSA Pick: Under 55.5
My UTSA vs. Navy best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Navy vs UTSA Odds
| Navy Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -102 | 56.5 -106o / -114u | +215 |
| UTSA Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -120 | 56.5 -106o / -114u | -265 |
- Navy vs UTSA point spread: UTSA -6.5 (-120), Navy +6.5 (-102)
- Navy vs UTSA over/under: 56.5 (-106o / -114u)
- Navy vs UTSA moneyline: Navy +215, UTSA -265
Navy vs UTSA College Football Preview
Saturday's Navy vs. UTSA college football game fits a historically profitable betting system from out Bet Labs database.
Called "Night Conf. Unders," this is a college football system that takes advantage of slower-paced conference games played in evening windows where scoring expectations are often too high.
These matchups occur in the Central or Eastern Time Zones with kickoffs between 7 and 9 p.m. ET, a setting that historically produces tighter play and more conservative game plans as teams adjust under the lights.
By focusing on conference contests, the system isolates games with built-in familiarity where defenses are better prepared for opponent schemes.
The totals targeted are 66.5 or lower, which represent lines high enough to tempt public action on the over, yet still leave room for the under to hit when execution stalls.
With betting percentages spread across both sides and temperatures sitting in a playable range above 60 degrees, the environment remains steady without extremes.
The result is a reliable profile where unders cash more often than expected in night conference football.
This system boasts an all-time record of 581-440-10, good for a win percentage of 56.9% and an ROI of 10.1%.
Navy vs UTSA Pick, Betting Analysis
In addition to the historically profitable betting system on our hands, there are some on-field matchups that point this game toward the under.
First, neither offense is explosive. In fact, Navy and UTSA both rank outside the top 110 nationally in offensive explosiveness, while the Roadrunners' stop unit also sits in the top 35 in explosiveness allowed.
That makes sense for a Midshipmen offense that runs the ball at the third-highest rate in the country, but it's a bit surprising for a UTSA offense that likes to throw the ball with Owen McCown under center.
All of that means these offenses will have to be methodical to move the ball down the field. They're perfectly happy doing just that, as each ranks in the top 10 in Rushing Success Rate.
Considering both Navy (133rd) and UTSA (89th) rank in the bottom half of the country in Passing Success Rate, expect these teams to run the ball and keep the clock moving.
Pick: Under 55.5
Navy vs UTSA Betting Trends
