The South Alabama Jaguars take on the ULM Warhawks in Monroe, Louisiana. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EST on ESPN+.
South Alabama is favored by 4 points on the spread with a moneyline of -200. The total is set at 51.5 points.
Here’s my South Alabama vs. ULM prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15, 2025.
South Alabama vs ULM Prediction
- South Alabama vs. ULM Pick: Under 51 (-110, bet365)
My ULM vs. South Alabama best bet is on the Under. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
South Alabama vs ULM Odds
| S. Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -115 | 51 -110o / -110u | -200 |
| LA-Monroe Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -105 | 51 -110o / -110u | +165 |
- South Alabama vs ULM point spread: South Alabama -4 (-110), ULM +4 (-110)
- South Alabama vs ULM over/under: 51.5 (-110o / -11ou)
- South Alabama vs ULM moneyline: South Alabama -200, ULM +165
South Alabama vs ULM Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
High Wind Low Adjustment is a college football system built on the idea that extreme wind conditions disrupt offensive rhythm more than the betting market accounts for.
During the regular season, when average wind speed ranges from 9 to 100 miles per hour, passing efficiency drops, field goals become riskier, and teams lean more on conservative play calling.
Yet if the betting total only shifts a few points from open to close, the market is signaling a minor adjustment to these conditions.
By focusing on games where the home spread is within 19.5 points in either direction, the system avoids lopsided blowouts and targets contests expected to remain competitive.
When the closing total falls between 47.5 and 69.5, it represents a middle scoring range where weather can have the most significant impact.
This combination of high wind and limited market reaction consistently creates value on the Under.
For context, we're expecting double-digit cross-field breezes for this matchup.
Pick: Under 51 (-110, bet365)
