The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Missouri Tigers in Columbia, Missouri, on Saturday, Nov. 8. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Texas A&M is favored by 7 points on the spread with a moneyline of -275. Missouri, meanwhile, enters as a +7 favorite and is +220 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 47.5 total points.
Here’s my Texas A&M vs. Missouri prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 8.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction
- Texas A&M vs. Missouri Pick: Missouri +7 or Better
My Missouri vs. Texas A&M best bet is on Missouri to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Odds
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -105 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | -275 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -115 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | +220 |
- Texas A&M vs Missouri Spread: Texas A&M -7, Missouri +7
- Texas A&M vs Missouri Over/Under: 47.5 Points
- Texas A&M vs Missouri Moneyline: Texas A&M -275, Missouri +220
Texas A&M vs Missouri College Football Betting Preview
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview: Defense Scuffling
Texas A&M should be fresh off a bye week after posting one of the only remaining undefeated records in FBS.
The offense has sizzled in pass explosives and scoring opportunities under coordinator Collin Klein.
The progression of quarterback Marcel Reed in his junior season has been crucial, as he has nearly doubled his big-time throw rate from 2024.
The transfer portal infusion of targets KC Concepcion and Mario Craver has also continued to pay dividends for the Aggies.
Head coach Mike Elko aims to win a national title, but two holes on the defense must be fixed in November.
Texas A&M has fallen to 93rd in tackling, per PFF, while also spiraling to 107th in broken tackles allowed. Cornerback Dezz Ricks and Safety Dalton Brooks have missed a combined 25 tackles on the season.
There's also the issue of opponent scoring attempts, as the Aggies are dead last in Finishing Drives allowed. In 33 opponent drives to cross the Texas A&M 40-yard line, teams have averaged 5.1 points per trip.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview: Quarterback Change Shakes Up Offense
Missouri stumbled into the bye week after losing two of its three SEC games in October.
The loss to Vanderbilt can be attributed to Finishing Drives, creating only four methodical drives and averaging only 1.5 points per scoring opportunity.
Running back Ahmad Hardy had once led the country in elusiveness but has fizzled down the stretch with just 2.6 yards after first contact in the last two games.
After scoring nine touchdowns in the first five games, Hardy has produced just two in the last three games.
Meanwhile, freshman quarterback Matt Zollers took over starting duties after a season-ending injury to starter Beau Pribula. The four-star prospect from Pennsylvania was uncomfortable with a turnover-worthy play on 14-of-24 passing.
Head coach Eli Drinkwitz said he expects Zollers to produce against Texas A&M.
The Missouri defense has been one of the best from a Havoc perspective, ranking eighth among all FBS teams.
That number is fueled by a top-five pass rush and the ability to create tackles for loss. Edge players Damon Wilson II and Zion Young have produced a combined 63 pressures.
The Tigers don't miss in tackling attempts, ranking fourth nationally in broken tackles allowed.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Pick, Betting Analysis
The Texas A&M defense must step up its production in tackling and scoring opportunities.
If there was a game for Hardy to bust out of an October funk, the Aggies could provide that boost after a bye week. Missouri features a heavy amount of outside zone with 11 and 12 personnel, producing a high 56% Success Rate for that concept.
However, Texas A&M has fielded a quality defense against the concept, with a 57% Success Rate, potentially putting the burden of this game on the arm of Zollers.
The biggest handicap is the Missouri defense putting a stop to Texas A&M's explosive passing attack. The Tigers rank 10th in Passing Success Rate allowed.
Reed has thrived against Cover 3, the most-used coverage by Missouri defensive coordinator Corey Batoon.
The key for the Tigers comes in their ability to create small windows and shut down extra yards. Missouri ranks fourth in both creating contested catches and broken tackles allowed, indicating that the Texas A&M offense could stall out.
Action Network projects Texas A&M as a 4.5-point road favorite.
Until the Aggies can field a defense that can make stops at the second level and not rank dead last in opponent scoring, Elko will have trouble winning the SEC, much less a national title.
Expect Missouri's offensive game plan to keep Zollers in low-risk passing attempts, allowing targets to take advantage of a Texas A&M defense that's outside the top 100 in passing downs EPA allowed.
Pick: Missouri +7 or Better
Texas A&M vs Missouri Betting Trends
