The UTEP Miners take on the Texas Longhorns in Austin, Texas. Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Texas is favored by -41.5 points on the spread, and the total is set at 50.5 points.
Here’s my UTEP vs. Texas predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 13, 2025.
UTEP vs Texas Prediction
- UTEP vs. Texas Pick: Over 50.5
My Texas vs. UTEP best bet is on the over. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
UTEP vs Texas Odds
| UTEP Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+41.5 -105 | 50.5 -118o / -105u | N/A |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-41.5 -115 | 50.5 -118o / -105u | N/A |
- UTEP vs Texas point spread: Texas -41.5
- UTEP vs Texas over/under: 50.5 points
UTEP vs Texas Pick, Betting Analysis
Texas started the season with massive expectations, but it lost its season opener to Ohio State, 14-7, and then failed to cover the 36.5-point spread against San Jose State in Week 2.
Arch Manning hasn't been great to start the campaign, struggling against Ohio State and then throwing another pick against the Spartans. However, he's bound to continue his progress with UTEP and Sam Houston on deck over the next two weeks.
While that's one of the reasons the over is in play for this game, the main backing of the bet is four systems lighting up, including Evan Abrams' "Unfamiliar Blowout Overs."
"Unfamiliar Blowout Overs" is a college football system that identifies high scoring potential in non-conference games where mismatches often lead to inflated point totals.
During the regular season, when the home team is heavily favored by more than 30 points, the talent gap is wide enough that scoring can come quickly and often.
Non-conference opponents are less familiar with each other’s schemes, which reduces defensive preparation and increases the likelihood of big plays.
By focusing on games where the closing total is below 60, the system finds situations where expectations are modest despite the conditions favoring offense.
In these contests, the stronger team can pile on points while the underdog often contributes through late scoring in garbage time, pushing results over the total more often than anticipated.
Most importantly, this system has a return on investment (ROI) of 16.5% since its inception in 2005.
There are also three other systems on this play, making it a nice value bet for Week 3.
Pick: Over 50.5
