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UTSA vs. San Diego State Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Frisco Bowl

UTSA vs. San Diego State Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Frisco Bowl article feature image

Joe Murphy/Getty Images. Pictured: Zakhari Franklin (left) and Sincere McCormick (right).

UTSA vs. San Diego State Odds

UTSA Odds -2.5
San Diego State Odds +2.5
Over/Under 50.5
Date Dec. 21
Location Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas

UTSA is set to take on San Diego State in the Frisco Bowl on Dec. 21 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Frisco Bowl below.

UTSA vs. San Diego State Projected Odds

UTSA Spread -1.5
San Diego State Spread +1.5
Over/Under 51.8

These UTSA vs. San Diego State projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How UTSA Reached the Frisco Bowl

All the UTSA hype was warranted.

The Roadrunners are your Conference USA regular-season champions, upsetting Western Kentucky in a thrilling title game.

Second-year head coach Jeff Traylor is 19-6 overall and 16-9 against the spread at the post. His 64% cover rate is the sixth-best mark since 2020 for programs with at least 20 games.

UTSA’s 37.8 points per game’s good for top-15 nationally. The unit scored 44 or more five times in conference play, including 49 in the championship tilt.

The Roadrunners have gone over the total in five of the last six entering the postseason.

Traylor led the team to its second-ever bowl appearance last season, when they fell to Louisiana-Lafayette, 31-24.

How San Diego State Reached the Frisco Bowl

We’re all victims of recency bias from time to time, so it’s hard to not let what happened to San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship Game taint an otherwise successful season.

The Aztecs finished 11-2 in 2021 but stumbled to Utah State, 46-13, in the aforementioned Mountain West title game.

What’s even more surprising though is how bad San Diego State performed for college football bettors despite dropping just two games on the year.

The Aztecs covered just five spreads this season and really struggled down the stretch with just a 1-4-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record in their final six games.

Interestingly, San Diego State performed very well as an underdog (4-1 ATS), but really struggled when closing as the betting favorite (1-5-1 ATS).

UTSA vs. San Diego State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how UTSA and San Diego State match up statistically:

UTSA Offense vs. San Diego State Defense
Rush Success 66 2
Line Yards 56 5
Pass Success 19 10
Pass Blocking** 96 33
Big Play 72 9
Havoc 33 7
Finishing Drives 37 18
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

San Diego State Offense vs. UTSA Defense
Rush Success 51 34
Line Yards 91 63
Pass Success 113 62
Pass Blocking** 22 127
Big Play 101 66
Havoc 59 30
Finishing Drives 95 68
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 101 39
Coverage 101 18
Middle 8 10 6
SP+ Special Teams 19 16
Plays per Minute 31
Rush Rate 56.6% (54) 62.% (16)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Frisco Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 21
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas
  • TV Info: ESPN

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