Which College Football Teams Are Receiving the Most Unexpected Action at Sportsbooks?

Which College Football Teams Are Receiving the Most Unexpected Action at Sportsbooks? article feature image

Rick Dodd/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: An Air Force Falcons helmet.

With the college football season fast approaching, we canvassed the sportsbooks and looked at what was sticking out.

Which totals, at least to the bettors, looked wrong?

Who has the public been quietly hammering? You might be surprised to see what we found out.

Air Force

It's not often that a service academy gets pounded on the total. But this year, bettors are flying with the Falcons to the over.

They opened at 7.5 wins (over -125) and there has been so much action at Caesars that they're now at 8.5 (over -150).

That makes Air Force just one of 11 teams whose win total has shifted by at least one full win.

Bowling Green

Even if a win total is being bet heavily, it's rare to see one shift by two whole wins.

There's a team that has done that this year and that's Bowling Green, which has shifted from 2.5 wins to 4.5 wins at Caesars.

These Falcons went 10-4 in 2015, but since then, they're 16-49.

There are no real obvious wins, but bettors seem confident that former Boston College QB Matt McDonald has all his targets back and can win in the MAC.

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This one might be the strangest one to us, but DraftKings told us that 89% of the futures money on the LSU Tigers is on the over of 7.

Why are we so baffled?

Because it's really not clear what team Brian Kelly has here — or if anyone over in Baton Rouge actually believes in Brian Kelly.

Given the way they ended last season, I'm not quite sure if bettors are just playing history here.

Michigan State

Michigan State, the darling of the over last season, is back again, as 81% of the money at DraftKings is on the Spartans to win more than 7.5 games.

Gone from last year's 11-2 season is star running back Kenneth Walker III, but QB Payton Thorne is a force.

What can derail this bet? If they don't do well during the gauntlet of three straight games against Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan.

Reminder: Last season, the Spartans were the most popular over of any team and those who had the over of 5.5 cashed six games into the season.


Utah's win total is still at 8.5 wins at PointsBet, but don't let that deceive you.

The over opened at +100 on May 10. By May 25, they were at -115 and -120 a week later.

By the first week of June, if you wanted to take the over, it would cost you -130. And by month's end, it was -140.

Want to take the over on Utah Utes to win more than 8.5 today? It's -150.

Utah, the preseason No. 7, should be favored in at least nine of their games, and history is on their side here. Since 2014, the Utes have won at least nine games every year except one.


The Commodores have only won five of their last 30 games, but the betting public seems to love their over 2.5 wins.

At BetMGM, Vanderbilt is the ninth most bet team on the futures board with 91% of the bets on the over.

So where do their opportunities lie?

Vandy's best shot is actually to win three of their first four, when Hawaii, Elon and Northern Illinois could be beatable.

But this team hasn't drastically improved from last year and there's a fat chance they can win even a single SEC game.

Like a good No Run First Inning bet, this wager will be decided quickly.

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