Wilson: My Projected Odds for Week 13 College Football Games


Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jarrett Smith

Nov 23, 2019, 02:59 AM EST
  • Collin Wilson uses his college football power ratings to project lines for Week 13 games.
  • Use his odds to find early betting value when books open lines on Sunday.

While Waco and Auburn took center stage in the College Football Playoff landscape on Saturday, an injury in Starkville may have the biggest impact on Tuesday’s rankings.

Tua Tagovailoa remained in the Alabama-Mississippi State game up 35-7 in the second quarter before a Bulldogs sack changed the national outlook. Tagovailoa screamed in pain as he exited the game with a dislocated hip with a posterior wall fracture.

The junior quarterback, Heisman hopeful and 2017-18 national champion will not return this season.

So who stands to benefit the most?

Oklahoma came back to win from 28-3 down, as Baylor scored no points in the second half. The Sooners are expected to make a leap in the rankings with Minnesota taking a loss.

Georgia survived a late Auburn surge, while Utah staked its claim as a national title contender in a blowout of UCLA.

As for projected College Football Playoff spreads, our new Action Network power ratings have been adjusted and would expect to see these numbers posted:

  • Clemson -1 v Ohio State
  • Clemson -5 v LSU
  • Clemson -9.5 v Georgia
  • Ohio State -4 v LSU
  • Ohio State -8.5 v Georgia
  • LSU -4.5 v Georgia

But before we get to that, Week 13 is up. And we are projecting every point spread below in anticipation of Sunday opening lines.

Look here to identity early betting value when opening lines are released on Sunday and follow me in The Action Network App to see when I bet those lines.

Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Projected College Football Odds, Week 13

A negative number indicates the home team is favored by that many points; a positive number indicates the home team is an underdog.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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