My best home run bets today include MLB predictions for both the Rays vs. Guardians (1 p.m. ET on TBS) and Brewers vs. Dodgers (8 p.m ET on FOX) The ProphetX promo code (TANBONUS) is primed and ready to deploy on a loaded day championship series baseball today, Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026.
- Both matchups on today's slate carry real stakes, with one series knotted up and the other on the verge of ending, which tends to push lineups to swing for the fences early.
- Home run props across both games span from stars already locked in at the plate to contact-first hitters getting plus odds, giving today's board a wide range of prices to trade.
Before I get into my full rundown, here's a look at the best prediction markets board for today's best home run bets today.
| ⚾ Game (Start) | 🏷️ HR Prop: Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays vs Guardians (1:00 PM ET) | Jonathan Aranda (TB) HR: Yes | 12.2% | $820 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Rays vs Guardians (1:00 PM ET) | José Ramírez (CLE) HR: Yes | 11.36% | $880 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Rays vs Guardians (1:00 PM ET) | Yandy Díaz (TB) HR: Yes | 10.75% | $930 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Rays vs Guardians (1:00 PM ET) | Taylor Walls (TB) HR: Yes | 6.06% | $1,650 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Brewers vs Dodgers (8:00 PM ET) | Max Muncy HR: Yes | 17.24% | $580 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Brewers vs Dodgers (8:00 PM ET) | Shohei Ohtani HR: Yes | 17.09% | $585 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Brewers vs Dodgers (8:00 PM ET) | Teoscar Hernández HR: Yes | 12.82% | $780 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
| Brewers vs Dodgers (8:00 PM ET) | Freddie Freeman HR: Yes | 12.35% | $810 | Trade it on ProphetX! |
Read our Action Network dedicated ProphetX review to learn more about how the exchange works, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
Best Home Run Bets Today: My Top ProphetX Picks for Today's MLB Slate
Below are real trades I placed myself on one of the best prediction market apps in ProphetX ahead of the MLB schedule today.
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From a tied-up ALCS to a Dodgers team one loss away from being swept, both games have plenty of best home run bets today to consider.
Rays vs. Guardians Prediction
The ALCS is knotted at one game apiece heading into Game 3, with Griffin Jax on the mound for the Rays and Gavin Williams going for the Guardians at Progressive Field.
Tampa Bay evened the series behind a strong start from Freddy Peralta and a two-run single off a José Ramírez error, so Cleveland's bats will be looking to bounce back in front of the home crowd.
José Ramírez has carried the Guardians' lineup through this postseason, and the Rays counter with a contact-heavy group in Yandy Díaz, Jonathan Aranda and Taylor Walls that's done just enough damage to make all three plus-money home run bets worth a look.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Jonathan Aranda HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | ����️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) Home Run Yes | Yes | 12.2% | $820 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Aranda has quietly been one of the more reliable bats in Tampa Bay's lineup all October, and the Rays will need that kind of pop against a Guardians pitching staff that's been stingy for most of this series.
A short swing path and a knack for pulling the ball in the air make Aranda a sensible value play at this price, especially in a potential high-leverage spot against Cleveland's bullpen.
At a $100 buy and a 12.2% price, this ticket picks up roughly 820 shares at that price, good for about $820 total if the Yes side hits.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $820 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's a payout of roughly 8.2 times the original stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – José Ramírez HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez (CLE) Home Run Yes | Yes | 11.36% | $880 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Ramírez has been the engine of Cleveland's offense all postseason, and a Game 3 at home after an error-marred Game 2 is exactly the kind of spot where he tends to respond.
He's shown no hesitation attacking mistakes middle-in, and the Rays' pitching staff has had its share of hard contact allowed against him this series.
A $100 buy at 11.36% works out to roughly 880 shares, putting the total payout at about $880 if the Yes side comes through.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $880 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's close to a 8.8 times return on the original buy.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Yandy Díaz HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz (TB) Home Run Yes | Yes | 10.75% | $930 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Díaz isn't the first name that comes to mind for home runs, which is exactly why this price carries value against a Guardians staff that's allowed its share of loud contact this October.
He's a line-drive hitter who can turn on a mistake pitch, and the daytime conditions at Progressive Field won't hurt a well-struck fly ball.
A $100 ticket at 10.75% buys roughly 930 shares, which pays out around $930 total if the Yes side hits.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $930 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That works out to a payout of about 9.3 times the stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Taylor Walls HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls (TB) Home Run Yes | Yes | 6.06% | $1,650 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Walls is the longest shot on today's board, and the price reflects that he's more glove than bat in this Rays lineup.
That said, long-shot home run props like this one are exactly where a prediction market can pay off big relative to the buy-in, especially for a hitter who's flashed occasional thump against left-handed pitching.
A $100 buy at 6.06% picks up roughly 1,650 shares, for a total payout near $1,650 if the Yes side lands.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $1,650 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's a payout of roughly 16.5 times the original stake.
Before we move across the country to Dodger Stadium, here's one more look at a loaded day of prediction market action:
Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction
The Brewers have taken a commanding 3-0 lead in the NLCS and can avoid the sweep tonight with Shohei Ohtani on the mound.
On the flip side, Milwaukee has yet to name a starter and may lean on bulk innings out of the bullpen. Jackson Chourio battled cramping late in Game 3 but is expected back in the lineup for this one.
With Los Angeles facing elimination, the Brewers' bats have been held quiet most of the series, which puts even more weight on a Dodgers lineup that's already gotten home run production from Teoscar Hernández and Max Muncy earlier in the NLCS.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Max Muncy HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy Home Run Yes | Yes | 17.24% | $580 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Muncy already set the Dodgers' postseason home run record earlier in this NLCS, and he's shown no signs of slowing down against a Brewers pitching staff searching for answers.
His willingness to work deep counts and punish any pitch left over the plate makes him one of the safer home run plays on the board today.
A $100 buy at 17.24% buys roughly 580 shares, which pays out close to $580 total if the Yes side comes in.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $580 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's a payout of about 5.8 times the stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Shohei Ohtani HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani Home Run Yes | Yes | 17.09% | $585 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Ohtani is pulling double duty tonight as the Dodgers' starting pitcher, but his bat has produced all October even while he's handled a heavier workload on the mound.
A two-way star with his power ceiling is always live for a home run on any given swing, and Milwaukee's bullpen plan tonight could mean facing arms Ohtani hasn't seen much this series.
A $100 ticket at 17.09% buys roughly 585 shares, for a total payout around $585 if the Yes side hits.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $585 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That works out to roughly a 5.85 times payout on the stake.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Teoscar Hernández HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernández Home Run Yes | Yes | 12.82% | $780 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Hernández already has a home run in this NLCS and has been one of the more consistent power threats in the Dodgers' lineup all October.
He's comfortable hunting pitches early in the count, which plays well against a Milwaukee staff that may be piecing together innings rather than leaning on a traditional starter.
A $100 buy at 12.82% picks up roughly 780 shares, for a total payout near $780 if the Yes side lands.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $780 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's a payout of about 7.8 times the original buy.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Freddie Freeman HR Yes
| ⚾ Home Run Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman Home Run Yes | Yes | 12.35% | $810 | Trade it now on ProphetX! |
Freeman has been a steady presence at the top of this Dodgers lineup all series, already coming through with extra-base damage in the NLCS opener.
His smooth left-handed swing and ability to drive the ball to all fields make him a threat against any arm Milwaukee sends out tonight.
A $100 ticket at 12.35% buys roughly 810 shares, which pays out close to $810 total if the Yes side comes through.
- If it hits: the trade returns about $810 on the $100 stake.
- If it misses: the full $100 is lost.
That's a payout of roughly 8.1 times the stake.
What's Moving the Market in Today's MLB Home Run Predictions
Prices on both boards have been shaped by what's already happened this series. Muncy and Ohtani sit near the top of the Dodgers board after home run production earlier in the NLCS. Milwaukee's lineup slump keeps Brewers-side home run props off today's board.
On the ALCS side, José Ramírez's price reflects his status as Cleveland's best power threat even after an error-filled Game 2, while the Rays' trio of contact hitters carries longer odds that can move quickly if any of them connect early.
Weather and ballpark context matter too. Progressive Field's daytime first pitch and Dodger Stadium's typically pitcher-friendly marine air can both shift a market's price as first pitch approaches, so checking the board again closer to game time is never a bad idea.
For live movement across today's full slate, the prediction markets hub is worth bookmarking.
How to Trade This Board on ProphetX
Ready to get in on my best home run bets today? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read our comprehensive ProphetX review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Monitor the home run props tab on ProphetX to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with ProphetX promo code TANBONUS to get started!
📝 PROPHETX TERMS & CONDITIONS
Trading sports event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light of your financial circumstances. ProphetX is a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Full risk disclosure available at prophetx.co/risk.
Final Thoughts on My Best Home Run Bets Today
Today's slate gives home run prop bettors two very different kinds of games to work with: a tied-up ALCS at Progressive Field and a Brewers team that could close out the NLCS tonight.
Whether it's a proven slugger like Ramírez and Muncy or a value play like Taylor Walls, there's a home run prop price today to fit just about every risk appetite.
My best home run bets today are built around real matchup context, so check back as lineups are announced closer to first pitch in case anything shifts.
ProphetX Promo Code FAQs
What are the best home run bets today on ProphetX?
My top picks for today's slate include Jonathan Aranda, José Ramírez, Yandy Díaz and Taylor Walls in the Rays-Guardians ALCS game, plus Max Muncy, Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernández and Freddie Freeman in the Brewers-Dodgers NLCS game.
Where can I find more MLB home run predictions today?
Beyond today's slate, ProphetX and other prediction markets update home run prop prices daily throughout the MLB postseason, so checking back closer to first pitch is a good habit.
How do I use the ProphetX promo code?
Create a ProphetX account, enter the promo code during sign-up, and make a qualifying first trade to activate the welcome bonus.
Is ProphetX available in my state?
ProphetX availability varies by state, so check the platform's sign-up page to confirm it's live where you're located before creating an account.
What time do today's ALCS and NLCS games start?
Rays vs. Guardians Game 3 of the ALCS starts at 1 p.m. ET at Progressive Field, and Brewers vs Dodgers Game 4 of the NLCS starts at 8 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium.
How does a home run prop trade work on a prediction market?
You're buying a Yes or No contract on whether a specific player hits a home run in the game. If your side hits, the contract settles at $1 per share; if it misses, the contract settles at $0.
Why do home run prop prices vary so much between players?
Prices reflect the market's estimate of how likely each player is to homer in that specific game, based on matchup, recent form, ballpark and lineup spot, so bigger power threats carry shorter prices than contact-first hitters.
